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MBCMasterBrand, Inc.Sell4.3·$8.88-3.37%
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MasterBrand, Inc. (MBC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.88: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 30%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

MasterBrand, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of residential cabinets in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company offers a range of residential cabinetry products, such as stock, semi-custom, and premium cabinetry for the kitchen, bathroom, and other parts of... Read more

$8.88+7.0% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#11 of 11 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield1.89%
Stop $8.26Target $9.50(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$9.15+3.0%2 analysts
$9.50our TP
$8.88price
$9.15mean
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.88: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 30%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14

Recent Developments — MasterBrand, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-12.4% upside)
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)14.6
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn-0.1%
ROE-0.2%
Rev Growth-6.4%
Beta1.48
DividendNone
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
Max Pain$10+12.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -6.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.9
Declining revenue: -6%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.6
Gross Margin
1.8
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
7.2
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.5
Support Resistance
2.6
Bollinger
3.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
1.8
Value Rank
6.4
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.61Resistance $9.69

Price Targets

$8
$10
A.Upside+7.0%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MBC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.88: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 30%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Prior stop was $8.26. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MBC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.50 (+7.0% upside). Prior stop was $8.26. Stop-loss: $8.26.

What are the risks of investing in MBC?

Target reached (-12.4% upside); Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is MBC overvalued or undervalued?

MasterBrand, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MBC?

5 analysts cover MBC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $9.

What does MasterBrand, Inc. do?MasterBrand, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of residential cabinets in the United States, Canada, and Mexico....

MasterBrand, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of residential cabinets in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company offers a range of residential cabinetry products, such as stock, semi-custom, and premium cabinetry for the kitchen, bathroom, and other parts of the home. It sells its products to remodeling and new construction markets through dealers, retailers, and builders. MasterBrand, Inc. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Beachwood, Ohio.

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