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MATVMativ Holdings, Inc.Sell5.6·$7.43-4.25%
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Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $7.43: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Weak growth.

Mativ Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells specialty materials in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Americas, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Filtration & Advanced Materials and Sustainable &... Read more

$7.43+140.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#19 of 41 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield34.97%
IncomeYield5.36%(5y avg 5.75%)Payout28.37%sustainable
Stop $6.91Target $17.85(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 12.8:1
Analyst target$21.00+182.6%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $7.43: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202628d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.5
P/E (Fwd)6.2
Mkt Cap$428M
EV/EBITDA7.0
Profit Mgn3.9%
ROE17.0%
Rev Growth-1.1%
Beta0.88
Dividend5.36%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -1.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 12.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.07Resistance $8.38

Price Targets

$7
$18
A.Upside+140.2%
A.R:R12.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MATV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $7.43: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $6.91. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MATV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.85 (+140.2% upside). Prior stop was $6.91. Stop-loss: $6.91.

What are the risks of investing in MATV?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is MATV overvalued or undervalued?

Mativ Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 5.5 (forward 6.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MATV?

7 analysts cover MATV with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Mativ Holdings, Inc. do?Mativ Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells specialty materials in the United States,...

Mativ Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells specialty materials in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Americas, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Filtration & Advanced Materials and Sustainable & Adhesive Solutions. The Filtration & Advanced Materials manufactures and sells various engineered polymer, resin and fiber-based substrates, nets, films, adhesive tapes, and other nonwovens for transportation, water and air filtration, construction, healthcare, advertising and marketing, and consumer goods, as well as filtration media and components, advanced films, coating and converting solutions, and extruded mesh products. The Sustainable & Adhesive Solutions segment offers tapes, labels, and liners that includes substrates for tapes used in building and construction, infrastructure, DIY, athletic, and industrial applications; and substrates critical to protection and adhesive separation applications in the personal care, label, tape, industrial, graphic arts, composites, and medical categories, as well as performance labels and cable wrapping. This segment also provides paper and packaging products comprising premium printing and other specialty papers and packaging applications used for print collateral, advertising, direct mail, sustainable alternatives, product packaging, graphics, wallpaper, and education, as well as consumer office, stationery and craft papers to retailers, small business, personal use, and educational applications; and healthcare and other products, including wound care, consumer wellness, device fixation, medical packaging, as well as various other solutions and applications. The company was formerly known as Schweitzer-Mauduit International, Inc. and changed its name to Mativ Holdings, Inc. in July 2022. Mativ Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Alpharetta, Georgia.

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