Strong underlying fundamentals — a 13.4x forward multiple with a 0.40 PEG, 41% net margins, and three beats in the last four quarters — are undercut by near-term price exhaustion: the stock sits just 1.1% below its technical target with a reward/risk ratio of 0.22, making further accumulation unattractive at current levels.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Forward Valuation→Stable
- Earnings Beat Consistency↑Improving
- Best In Class Franchise Quality→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026
Lakeland Financial Corporation (LKFN) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup · Inst Constrain edge
Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Lakeland Financial Corporation is the Warsaw, Indiana-based holding company for Lake City Bank, a full-service commercial bank operating 55 offices across 15 counties in Northern and Central Indiana. The bank offers commercial and consumer banking, trust and wealth management,... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 9/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.80, news boost analyst 0.50, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity 87d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About Lakeland Financial Corporation
About Lakeland Financial Corporation
Lakeland Financial's Lake City Bank subsidiary held $7.0 billion in consolidated total assets as of December 31, 2025, operating 55 offices across 15 Indiana counties -- 46 in Northern Indiana and nine in the Indianapolis market. Commercial real estate loans made up 49.5% of the bank's total loan portfolio and commercial and industrial loans another 28.9%, while the bank grew from $286 million in assets in 1990 to its current scale through an exclusively organic, de novo branch expansion strategy.
Lake City Bank earns net interest income by gathering commercial, public-fund and retail deposits and originating commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, agricultural, residential and consumer loans across its Northern and Central Indiana footprint, organized into five geographic regions each led by a retail and commercial regional manager. The bank supplements deposit funding with brokered time and money-market deposits, IntraFi and American Financial Exchange programs, and Federal Home Loan Bank and Federal Reserve borrowing capacity, holding $3.526 billion in available liquidity at year-end 2025. Agri-business loans, though a smaller 7.6% slice of the loan book at $406.9 million, expose the bank to livestock and crop price cycles, input costs and avian bird flu outbreaks. Lakeland does not depend on any single industry or customer, serving commercial clients across manufacturing, agriculture, construction, retail, finance and health care.
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Lakeland's funding base carries a notable public-sector concentration: approximately 33.2% of total deposits come from Indiana municipalities and government agencies, with the five largest public accounts alone representing 18.9% of total deposits as of December 31, 2025. Because these deposits depend partly on the continuation of Indiana's Public Deposit Insurance Fund and require collateralization, any change to that state program or a shift of public funds elsewhere would push Lakeland toward higher-cost alternatives such as brokered certificates of deposit -- a funding-cost risk layered on top of the bank's already-concentrated 49.5% commercial real estate loan book.
See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional
From Lakeland Financial Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Lakeland Financial Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS LKFN stock holds near its range after Lakeland Financial reports revenue and earnings - Ad-hoc-news.de — Ad-hoc-news.de neutral
- NEWS LKFN stock holds near its range after Lakeland Financial reports revenue and earnings - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS positive
- NEWS Earnings Preview: LKFN to Report Financial Results Pre-market on July 27 - Moomoo — Moomoo neutral
- NEWS Lakeland Financial vs. First Busey: Which Bank Offers Better Long-Term Dividend Income? - 24/7 Wall St. — 24/7 Wall St. neutral
- NEWS Lakeland Financial Announces Quarterly Dividend, Signals Stability - TipRanks — TipRanks positive
Generated 2026-10-29T11:20:25Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans50%10-K Item 1A: 'Commercial real estate loans were $2.667 billion, or approximately 49.5% of our total loan portfolio, as of December 31, 2025.'
- MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial and industrial loans29%10-K Item 1A: 'Commercial and industrial loans were $1.554 billion, or approximately 28.9% of our total loan portfolio, as of December 31, 2025.'
- MEDIUMloan_portfoliopublic funds deposits33%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 33.2% of our deposit balances are concentrated in public funds from municipalities and government agencies located in the Bank's geographic footprint.'
- LOWloan_portfolioagri-business loans7.6%10-K Item 1A: 'Our agri-business loans, which totaled $406.9 million, or approximately 7.6% of our total loan portfolio, as of December 31, 2025'
- MEDIUMGeographicIndiana10-K Item 1: 'the majority of the Bank's assets and income are located in and derived from our Indiana markets.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $56.10 reached (−7.1%), stop $57.68 (−4.7%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $56.10 reached (−7.1% from $60.40); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $56.10 reached (−7.1%), stop $57.68 (−4.7%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $57.68.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Lakeland Financial Corporation trades at a P/E of 13.5 (forward 13.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.
10 analysts cover LKFN with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $66.
What does Lakeland Financial Corporation do?Lakeland Financial Corporation is the Warsaw, Indiana-based holding company for Lake City Bank, a full-service...
Lakeland Financial Corporation is the Warsaw, Indiana-based holding company for Lake City Bank, a full-service commercial bank operating 55 offices across 15 counties in Northern and Central Indiana. The bank offers commercial and consumer banking, trust and wealth management, brokerage and treasury management services to a diversified customer base, reporting $7.0 billion in consolidated total assets as of December 31, 2025, with commercial real estate loans comprising 49.5% of its loan portfolio and commercial and industrial loans another 28.9%.