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LFUSLittelfuse, Inc.Sell5.0·$464.34+1.53%
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Littelfuse, Inc. (LFUS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $464.34 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

Littelfuse is a diversified industrial technology manufacturer with three segments—Electronics ($1.35B), Transportation ($676M), and Industrial ($364M)—producing circuit protection, power semiconductors, and sensing components for global OEMs. In fiscal 2025 it generated $2.39B... Read more

$464.34+5.6% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#17 of 24 Electronic Components
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.83%
IncomeYield0.66%(5y avg 0.96%)Payout60.00%sustainable
Stop $431.84Target $490.56(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$486.25+4.7%4 analysts
$490.56our TP
$464.34price
$486.25mean
$390
$535

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $464.34 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)26.5
Mkt Cap$11.6B
EV/EBITDA22.2
Profit Mgn-1.6%
ROE-1.6%
Rev Growth18.5%
Beta1.49
Dividend0.66%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV75%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicChina24%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 65% of the Company's net sales were to customers outside the United States ("U.S."), including approximately 24% to China'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02LOW
    Littelfuse Board approved updated RSU and PSU award agreement forms on April 22, 2026. Updated agreements add that death or disability satisfies retirement vesting requirements. No officer departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02LOW
    Holly B. Paeper appointed to Littelfuse Board of Directors effective March 4, 2026. Board expanded from 8 to 9 members. Paeper is President, Commercial HVAC Business of Trane Technologies. Appointed to Technology Committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.3
Value Rank
3.8
Growth Rank
5.0

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Peg Ratio
3.9
Forward Pe
4.7
Ps
7.1
Forward P/E: 26.5xPEG: 2.70

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.3
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $416.60Resistance $500.57

Price Targets

$432
$491
A.Upside+5.6%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.0% upside)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LFUS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $464.34 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $431.84. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the LFUS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $490.56 (+5.6% upside). Prior stop was $431.84. Stop-loss: $431.84.

What are the risks of investing in LFUS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is LFUS overvalued or undervalued?

Littelfuse, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 26.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LFUS?

10 analysts cover LFUS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $486.

What does Littelfuse, Inc. do?Littelfuse is a diversified industrial technology manufacturer with three segments—Electronics ($1.35B), Transportation...

Littelfuse is a diversified industrial technology manufacturer with three segments—Electronics ($1.35B), Transportation ($676M), and Industrial ($364M)—producing circuit protection, power semiconductors, and sensing components for global OEMs. In fiscal 2025 it generated $2.39B net sales, with ~65% from international customers including ~24% to China.

Related stocks: CLS (Celestica, Inc.) · TEL (TE Connectivity plc) · FN (Fabrinet) · TTMI (TTM Technologies, Inc.) · JBL (Jabil Inc.)
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