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Kirby Corporation (KEX) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $146.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Kirby Corporation is the nation's largest domestic tank barge operator, transporting petrochemicals, black oil, refined petroleum products, and agricultural chemicals across the Mississippi River System, Gulf Intracoastal Waterway, and US coasts through its KMT segment, plus... Read more

$146.94+5.1% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#9 of 13 Marine Shipping
Stop $138.66Target $154.54(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$154.00+4.8%6 analysts
$154.54our TP
$146.94price
$154.00mean
$138
$160

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $146.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.2
P/E (Fwd)19.1
Mkt Cap$8.1B
EV/EBITDA11.9
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE10.6%
Rev Growth6.2%
Beta0.83
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.26bullish
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCommoditypetrochemicals48%
    10-K Item 1A: '48% of KMT's revenues were from the movement of petrochemicals'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-20Item 5.02LOW
    Tracy A. Embree elected to Kirby's Board of Directors on February 16, 2026 as an independent Class I director. She has 25+ years in power generation and manufacturing, most recently as President of Otis Americas. Not yet assigned to a board committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.4
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $134.00Resistance $157.69

Price Targets

$139
$155
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.8% upside)
! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KEX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $146.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $154.54 (+5.2%), stop $138.66 (−6.0%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $154.54 (+5.1% upside). Target $154.54 (+5.2%), stop $138.66 (−6.0%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $138.66.

What are the risks of investing in KEX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is KEX overvalued or undervalued?

Kirby Corporation trades at a P/E of 23.2 (forward 19.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about KEX?

10 analysts cover KEX with a consensus score of 4.5/5. Average price target: $154.

What does Kirby Corporation do?Kirby Corporation is the nation's largest domestic tank barge operator, transporting petrochemicals, black oil, refined...

Kirby Corporation is the nation's largest domestic tank barge operator, transporting petrochemicals, black oil, refined petroleum products, and agricultural chemicals across the Mississippi River System, Gulf Intracoastal Waterway, and US coasts through its KMT segment, plus distribution and services (KDS) for power generation and oilfield equipment. It operates 1,105 inland tank barges representing 28% of the US total fleet, with approximately 5,233 employees. Revenue comes from contract transportation services and equipment parts and services.

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