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KEXKirby CorporationBuy Wait5.6·$132.34+0.97%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak and a maximum Piotroski financial health score of 9 out of 9 reflect a well-run business, but the stock is range-bound near its analyst price target with only 1.9% upside remaining and a risk/reward ratio of 0.41 that does not favor new entry at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakImproving
  • Near Target Thin Risk RewardImproving
  • Maximum Financial Health ScoreStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kirby Corporation (KEX) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Wait for pullback to $130.30. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $132.34. Engine's entry $130.30 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum.

Kirby Corporation is the nation's largest domestic tank barge operator, transporting petrochemicals, black oil, refined petroleum products, and agricultural chemicals via 1,105 inland tank barges and 28 coastal tank barges. KDS, its second segment, distributes and services... Read more

$132.34+11.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#15 of 19 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.07%
Entry $130.30(support + ATR (held))Stop $121.46Target $148.05(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$170.17+28.6%6 analysts
$148.05our TP
$132.34price
$170.17mean
$182

Wait for pullback to $130.30. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $132.34. Engine's entry $130.30 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.75, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30

Recent Developments — Kirby Corporation

Generated 2026-07-31T05:18:56Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.4
P/E (Fwd)15.8
Mkt Cap$7.0B
EV/EBITDA11.4
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE10.7%
Rev Growth7.4%
Beta0.83
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.43bearish
IV43%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductpetrochemical transportation48%
    10-K Item 1: 'The transportation of petrochemical products represented 48% of the segment's 2025 revenues.'
  • MEDIUMProductblack oil transportation26%
    10-K Item 1: 'Black oil ... Such products represented 26% of the segment's 2025 revenues.'
  • LOWProductrefined petroleum products transportation23%
    10-K Item 1: 'Refined petroleum products ... represented 23% of the segment's 2025 revenues.'
  • LOWSupplierMTU, Allison, and Daimler12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales and service of MTU, Allison, and Daimler products accounted for approximately 12% of the Company's revenues during 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 2.02LOW
    Kirby Corporation released Q1 2026 earnings results on April 30, 2026. Press release included EBITDA reconciliation and non-GAAP measures excluding one-time items.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.2
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Uptrend pullback (RSI 33) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.75NEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $128.58Resistance $151.52

Price Targets

$121
$130
$148
A.Upside+11.9%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KEX stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $130.30. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $132.34. Engine's entry $130.30 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $148.05 (+11.9%), stop $121.46 (−9.0%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $148.05 (+11.9% upside). Target $148.05 (+11.9%), stop $121.46 (−9.0%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $121.46.

What are the risks of investing in KEX?

Negative momentum.

Is KEX overvalued or undervalued?

Kirby Corporation trades at a P/E of 22.4 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about KEX?

10 analysts cover KEX with a consensus score of 4.5/5. Average price target: $170.

What does Kirby Corporation do?Kirby Corporation is the nation's largest domestic tank barge operator, transporting petrochemicals, black oil, refined...

Kirby Corporation is the nation's largest domestic tank barge operator, transporting petrochemicals, black oil, refined petroleum products, and agricultural chemicals via 1,105 inland tank barges and 28 coastal tank barges. KDS, its second segment, distributes and services engines, transmissions, and power generation equipment while manufacturing oilfield and electrical equipment for industrial customers.

Related stocks: HAFN (Hafnia Limited) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) · SB (Safe Bulkers, Inc) · ECO (Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.)
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