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JOBYJoby Aviation, Inc.Sell3.8·$9.77+6.72%
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Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Airports & Air Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.77: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Joby Aviation is developing a piloted eVTOL air taxi for urban markets, targeting commercial passenger service in 2026. Currently pre-revenue, it is funded through equity from strategic investors including Toyota, Uber, and Delta Air Lines, and acquired Blade Urban Air Mobility... Read more

$9.77+24.9% A.UpsideScore 3.8/10#5 of 5 Airports & Air Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-4.23%
Stop $9.10Target $12.22(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$11.12+13.8%9 analysts
$12.22our TP
$9.77price
$11.12mean
$6
$18

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.77: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and SEC filing concern. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Joby Aviation, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-1.1% upside)
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-15.4
Mkt Cap$9.0B
EV/EBITDA-9.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-68.0%
Rev Growth
Beta2.67
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.17bearish
IV88%elevated
Max Pain$1-89.8% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Didier Papadapoulos, President of Aircraft OEM, resigned effective July 3, 2026 to spend time with family after five years leading aircraft development. No immediate successor named; company expects to enter an advisory services agreement with Mr. Papadapoulos.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-06Item 4.01HIGH
    Audit Committee dismissed Deloitte & Touche LLP as independent auditor effective March 3, 2026. No disagreements on accounting principles or practices cited. Prior audit reports were unqualified.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
3.6
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Cash-burning: FCF -490% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings History
5.6
GatesMomentum 1.1<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)SEC critical: Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.72Resistance $12.47

Price Targets

$9
$12
A.Upside+25.1%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JOBY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.77: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $9.10. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

What is the JOBY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.22 (+24.9% upside). Prior stop was $9.10. Stop-loss: $9.10.

What are the risks of investing in JOBY?

Target reached (-1.1% upside); Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is JOBY overvalued or undervalued?

Joby Aviation, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -15.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JOBY?

15 analysts cover JOBY with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Joby Aviation, Inc. do?Joby Aviation is developing a piloted eVTOL air taxi for urban markets, targeting commercial passenger service in 2026....

Joby Aviation is developing a piloted eVTOL air taxi for urban markets, targeting commercial passenger service in 2026. Currently pre-revenue, it is funded through equity from strategic investors including Toyota, Uber, and Delta Air Lines, and acquired Blade Urban Air Mobility in August 2025 to gain operational experience. FAA type certification is in progress under the powered-lift classification, with international certification efforts underway in the UK, Japan, Australia, UAE, and other markets.

Related stocks: CAAP (Corporacion America Airports SA) · OMAB (Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro ) · PAC (Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific) · ASR (Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste)
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