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CAAPCorporacion America Airports SASell5.4·$24.47
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Corporacion America Airports offers compelling growth at a discount — 20% revenue growth year-over-year, a PEG of 0.14, and free cash flow conversion of 214% of net income — but has stumbled badly on earnings execution, missing analyst estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters. The stock sits just 0.4% below technical resistance with an unfavorable risk/reward, making the setup a hold until earnings reliability is restored.

Thesis pillars

  • Exhausted Near Term Price Upside→Stable
  • Strong Revenue Growth Trajectory→Stable
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion Quality→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Corporacion America Airports SA (CAAP) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airports & Air Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.47 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Corporación América Airports S.A., through its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, and operates airport concessions. It operates 52 airports in Latin America, Europe, and Eurasia. The company was formerly known as A.C.I. Airports International S.à r.l. and changed its name to... Read more

$24.47+15.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#3 of 5 Airports & Air Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield15.14%
Stop $22.76Analyst target $28.19(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst consensus$32.40+32.4%6 analysts
$28.19Analyst target
$24.47price
$32.40mean
$36

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.47 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 23d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 23, 202623d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 45%
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.7
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA5.7
Profit Mgn13.6%
ROE17.4%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta0.68
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.95neutral
IV57%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.6
Volume
2.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.0
Value Rank
3.5
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 23d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $22.78Resistance $25.99

Price Targets

$23
$28
A.Upside+15.2%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-23 (23d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CAAP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.47 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $22.76. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CAAP stock price target?

Analyst target: $28.19 (+15.2% upside). Prior stop was $22.76. Stop-loss: $22.76.

What are the risks of investing in CAAP?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is CAAP overvalued or undervalued?

Corporacion America Airports SA trades at a P/E of 13.7 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CAAP?

15 analysts cover CAAP with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Corporacion America Airports SA do?Corporación América Airports S.A., through its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, and operates airport concessions. It...

Corporación América Airports S.A., through its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, and operates airport concessions. It operates 52 airports in Latin America, Europe, and Eurasia. The company was formerly known as A.C.I. Airports International S.à r.l. and changed its name to Corporación América Airports S.A. in September 2017. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Corporación América Airports S.A. operates as a subsidiary of A.C.I. Airports S.à r.l.

Related stocks: OMAB (Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro ) · PAC (Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific) · ASR (Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste) · JOBY (Joby Aviation, Inc.)
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