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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ITT has delivered a perfect earnings beat record across the last 4 quarters, including a 14% positive surprise in the most recent period, and 33% year-over-year revenue growth has established it as the growth leader among its industry peers. With approximately 9% upside to the analyst-based target and a roughly 2.2-to-1 reward-to-risk ratio, the setup supports a small initial position, tempered by free cash flow converting at only 55 cents per dollar of net income and an elevated put/call ratio.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Strong Momentum Volume Confirmation↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 9, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ITT Inc. (ITT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $202.56, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (65.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply.

ITT Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells engineered critical components and customized technology solutions for the transportation, industrial, and energy markets. The company operates three segments: Motion Technologies, Industrial Process, and Connect &... Read more

$202.56+10.7% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#34 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.69%
IncomeYield0.79%(5y avg 0.94%)Payout28.85%sustainable
Stop $190.48Analyst target $224.26(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst consensus$257.77+27.3%13 analysts
$224.26Analyst target
$202.56price
$257.77mean
$175
$285

Sell if holding. At $202.56, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (65.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 52, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (65.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.6
P/E (Fwd)21.1
Mkt Cap$18.2B
EV/EBITDA21.6
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth51.5%
Beta1.25
Dividend0.79%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$150-25.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicoutside the United States65%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 65% of our total sales were to customers operating outside of the United States.'
  • LOWCustomerAumovio SE6.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to Aumovio SE, a supplier to the automotive industry and ITT's largest customer, were approximately 6% of our total revenue in 2025.'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle source of supply
    10-K Item 1A: 'In limited instances, we depend on a single source of supply, manufacturing or assembly'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Emmanuel Caprais resigned effective May 8, 2026 for personal reasons after nearly 14 years; no disagreement with Company operations cited. Michael J. Savinelli (VP, Treasurer, Chief Tax Officer) named interim CFO; permanent successor search underway.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $183.06Resistance $210.56

Price Targets

$190
$224
A.Upside+10.7%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ITT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $202.56, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (65.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 52, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $190.48. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ITT stock price target?

Analyst target: $224.26 (+10.7% upside). Prior stop was $190.48. Stop-loss: $190.48.

What are the risks of investing in ITT?

Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (65.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

Is ITT overvalued or undervalued?

ITT Inc. trades at a P/E of 39.6 (forward 21.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ITT?

19 analysts cover ITT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $258.

What does ITT Inc. do?ITT Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells engineered critical components and customized...

ITT Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells engineered critical components and customized technology solutions for the transportation, industrial, and energy markets. The company operates three segments: Motion Technologies, Industrial Process, and Connect & Control Technologies. The Motion Technologies segment manufactures brake pads, shock absorbers, energy absorption components, and damping technologies primarily for the transportation industry, including passenger cars, trucks, light and heavy-duty commercial and military vehicles, buses, and trains. This segment sells its products under the ITT Friction Technologies, KONI, Axtone, and Novitek brand names. The Industrial Process segment provides industrial pumps, valves, plant optimization, and remote monitoring systems and services; and aftermarket solutions, such as replacement parts and services. It serves various customers in the energy, chemical and petrochemical, pharmaceutical, general industrial, marine, mining, pulp and paper, food and beverage, power generation, and biopharmaceutical industries. This segment sells its products under the Goulds Pumps, Bornemann, Engineered Valves, Hamworthy Pumps, PRO Services, C'treat, Svanehøj, Rheinhütte Pumpen, and Habonim brand names. The Connect & Control Technologies segment offers engineered connectors, cable assemblies, and specialized products for critical applications supporting various markets, including aerospace and defence, industrial, transportation, medical, and energy under the Cannon, VEAM, BIW Connector Systems, CIA&D, Compulink, Aerospace Controls, Enidine, Compact Automation, Charles E. Gillman, Turn-Act, Neo-Dyn, TopFlite Components, Conoflow, VIDAR, kSARIA, and Micro-Mode brand names. It operates in North America, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and South America. The company was incorporated in 1920 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.

Related stocks: EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · XE (X-Energy, Inc.) · GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Lt) · HLIO (Helios Technologies, Inc.) · GRC (Gorman-Rupp Company (The))
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