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ITRGIntegra Resources Corp.Sell5.6·$2.29
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ITRG screens as deeply undervalued with an outsized analyst-implied upside, but a likely commodity-cycle earnings peak, consecutive earnings misses, a severe earnings-quality red flag, and small-cap constraints temper the case for adding to the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value With Massive Analyst Upside→Stable
  • Commodity Cycle Peak Risk→Stable
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Integra Resources Corp. (ITRG) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Sector Rotation edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $2.29 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Integra Resources Corp., a precious metals producer, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the Great Basin of the Western United States. It explores for gold and silver deposits. The company's flagship projects include DeLamar Project which includes... Read more

$2.29+113.4% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#8 of 12 Other Precious Metals & Mining
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-6.36%
Stop $2.13Analyst target $4.89(−15% haircut)A.R:R 10.5:1
Analyst consensus$5.75+151.1%2 analysts
$4.89Analyst target
$2.29price
$5.75mean
$7

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $2.29 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and materials cycle peak fwd=4.5x,ratio=0.08x. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 113%
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)57.3
P/E (Fwd)4.5
Mkt Cap$465M
EV/EBITDA4.6
Profit Mgn4.1%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth15.9%
Beta1.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.1
Rsi
3.5
Macd
3.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.6
Value Rank
3.9
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)MATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=4.5x,ratio=0.08xEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 10.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
36 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.12Resistance $2.72

Price Targets

$2
$5
A.Upside+113.4%
A.R:R10.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=4.5x,ratio=0.08x

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ITRG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $2.29 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $2.13. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ITRG stock price target?

Analyst target: $4.89 (+113.4% upside). Prior stop was $2.13. Stop-loss: $2.13.

What are the risks of investing in ITRG?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is ITRG overvalued or undervalued?

Integra Resources Corp. trades at a P/E of 57.3 (forward 4.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ITRG?

16 analysts cover ITRG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $6.

What does Integra Resources Corp. do?Integra Resources Corp., a precious metals producer, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties...

Integra Resources Corp., a precious metals producer, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the Great Basin of the Western United States. It explores for gold and silver deposits. The company's flagship projects include DeLamar Project which includes 790 unpatented lode, placer, and millsite claims, and 16 tax parcels comprised of patented mining claims covering an area of 8,673 hectares located in southwestern Idaho; and the Nevada North Project located in western Nevada. The company was formerly known as Mag Copper Limited and changed its name to Integra Resources Corp. in August 2017. Integra Resources Corp. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.) · MUX (McEwen Inc.) · SIND (Sinda Ltd.) · VMET (Versamet Royalties Corporation) · PPTA (Perpetua Resources Corp.)
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