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Gartner, Inc. (IT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $148.76 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: subscription-based products and services (78.0%).

Gartner delivers business and technology research, insights, and advisory services to 13,000+ enterprises in ~90 countries via three segments: Business & Technology Insights (subscriptions), Conferences, and Consulting. Insights subscriptions constitute ~78% of total revenues.

$148.76+1.1% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#27 of 35 Information Technology Services
Stop $138.45Target $150.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$173.00+16.3%13 analysts
$150.51our TP
$148.76price
$173.00mean
$240

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $148.76 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: subscription-based products and services (78.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: subscription-based products and services (78.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 10.5): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.4
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$10.0B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn11.2%
ROE86.9%
Rev Growth2.2%
Beta1.04
DividendNone
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C3.44bearish
IV91%elevated
Max Pain$100-32.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductsubscription-based products and services78%
    10-K Item 1A: 'subscription-based products and services ... constituted approximately 78% and 77% of total revenues from our operations for 2025 and 2024, respectively.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-29Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed Daniela Rus (MIT AI/robotics professor) and Edward Bousa as directors effective January 29, 2026, expanding the Board to 13 (12 independent). Routine board additions; no departures.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.4
Value Rank
4.9
Quality Rank
8.2
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $141.76Resistance $161.61

Price Targets

$138
$151
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.1% upside)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $148.76 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: subscription-based products and services (78.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Prior stop was $138.45. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the IT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $150.51 (+1.1% upside). Prior stop was $138.45. Stop-loss: $138.45.

What are the risks of investing in IT?

Concentration risk — Product: subscription-based products and services (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 10.5): -1.5.

Is IT overvalued or undervalued?

Gartner, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.4 (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IT?

25 analysts cover IT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $173.

What does Gartner, Inc. do?Gartner delivers business and technology research, insights, and advisory services to 13,000+ enterprises in ~90...

Gartner delivers business and technology research, insights, and advisory services to 13,000+ enterprises in ~90 countries via three segments: Business & Technology Insights (subscriptions), Conferences, and Consulting. Insights subscriptions constitute ~78% of total revenues.

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