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IBNICICI Bank LimitedHold6.1·$28.70
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ICICI Bank's attractive forward valuation and strong year-over-year earnings growth offer a credible re-rating story, but the stock's confirmed long-term downtrend and thin risk/reward geometry at current levels argue for patience before adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Forward Valuation↑Improving
  • Strong Earnings Growth Profile→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Consistency→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ICICI Bank Limited (IBN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

ICICI Bank Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of various banking and financial services to corporate and retail customers in India and internationally. The company operates through Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, Treasury, Other Banking, Life... Read more

$28.70+11.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#80 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield0.87%(5y avg 0.57%)Payout14.16%sustainable
Stop $27.46Analyst target $32.09(−15% haircut)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst consensus$37.75+31.5%4 analysts
$32.09Analyst target
$28.70price
$37.75mean
$40

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 14, 202777d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.3
P/E (Fwd)14.3
Mkt Cap$103.0B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn27.8%
ROE16.5%
Rev Growth15.8%
Beta0.26
Dividend0.87%
Rating analysts43

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.46bearish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$25-12.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.22Resistance $30.25

Price Targets

$27
$32
A.Upside+11.8%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts43
Consensus4.5/5
Avg Target$38

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-14 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IBN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $32.09 (+11.8%), stop $27.46 (−4.5%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IBN stock price target?

Analyst target: $32.09 (+11.8% upside). Analyst target $32.09 (+11.8%), stop $27.46 (−4.5%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $27.46.

What are the risks of investing in IBN?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Is IBN overvalued or undervalued?

ICICI Bank Limited trades at a P/E of 16.3 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about IBN?

43 analysts cover IBN with a consensus score of 4.5/5. Average price target: $38.

What does ICICI Bank Limited do?ICICI Bank Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of various banking and financial services...

ICICI Bank Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of various banking and financial services to corporate and retail customers in India and internationally. The company operates through Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, Treasury, Other Banking, Life Insurance, General Insurance, and Others segments. The company offers asset management, securities brokerage, private equity, foreign exchange, agricultural and rural banking, equities underwriting, depositary share accounts, consumer durable goods financing, corporate salary and current account, savings and sovereign gold bonds, insurance policies, public offerings, investment, credit and protection, retail inward remittances, certificates of deposits, and payment and transaction banking products and services. It is also involved in the fee and commission-based activities; distribution of financial products; venture capital and real estate fund management business; treasury and rural banking operations; financial solutions; working capital financing; I-Process services, mutual funds, investment banking, and pension funds; and advisory activities. In addition, the company provides savings, salary, capital gains scheme, Hindu undivided family savings, real estate regulatory authority, government e-marketplace, current, trade, escrow, and foreign currency accounts. Further, it offers personal, home, car, education, gold, automobile, and commercial business loans, as well as loans against time deposits, securities, and property; and working capital loans, as well as credit, debit, prepaid, travel, forex, commercial, and corporate cards. Additionally, the company provides fixed income products; investment products; payments; general, accident, life, health, vehicle, and travel insurance products; cash management and merchant services; capital market and securities market services; and forex, derivatives, bullion, and bonds. The company was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

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