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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Hubbell is a high-quality industrial franchise—wide economic moat, 26% return on equity, a 9-of-9 Piotroski score, and a four-quarter perfect earnings beat streak—but the stock is trading above its near-term $487 resistance target with an unfavorable risk/reward, making new positions unattractive at current prices despite the underlying business quality.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Franchise Wide Moat→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Execution↑Improving
  • Above Target Unfavorable Risk Reward↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Hubbell Inc (HUBB) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. At $437.33, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.1%; Concentration risk — Product: Utility Solutions segment (63.0%).

Hubbell manufactures electrical and utility solutions across Utility Solutions (63% of 2025 revenues, covering T&D components, smart meters, and grid controls) and Electrical Solutions (37%, covering wiring devices, connectors, and industrial controls). Revenue is earned through... Read more

$437.33+8.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#13 of 25 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.59%
IncomeYield1.31%(5y avg 1.39%)Payout33.04%sustainable
Stop $414.10Analyst target $472.81(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst consensus$543.46+24.3%13 analysts
$472.81Analyst target
$437.33price
$543.46mean
$600

Sell if holding. At $437.33, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.1%; Concentration risk — Product: Utility Solutions segment (63.0%). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 95d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 2, 202795d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Utility Solutions segment (63.0%)
Thin upside margin: 8.1%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.8
P/E (Fwd)19.0
Mkt Cap$23.1B
EV/EBITDA17.3
Profit Mgn13.8%
ROE23.4%
Rev Growth24.6%
Beta—
Dividend1.31%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.69bullish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$260-40.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductUtility Solutions segment63%
    10-K Item 1: 'The Utility Solutions segment (63% of consolidated revenues in 2025, 64% in 2024 and 61% in 2023)'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers42%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top ten customers account for approximately 42% of our Net sales'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 95d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Moderate
RSI
29 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $426.91Resistance $492.63

Price Targets

$414
$473
A.Upside+8.1%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-02 (95d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HUBB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $437.33, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.1%; Concentration risk — Product: Utility Solutions segment (63.0%). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $414.10. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HUBB stock price target?

Analyst target: $472.81 (+8.1% upside). Prior stop was $414.10. Stop-loss: $414.10.

What are the risks of investing in HUBB?

Concentration risk — Product: Utility Solutions segment (63.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.1%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is HUBB overvalued or undervalued?

Hubbell Inc trades at a P/E of 25.8 (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HUBB?

22 analysts cover HUBB with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $543.

What does Hubbell Inc do?Hubbell manufactures electrical and utility solutions across Utility Solutions (63% of 2025 revenues, covering T&D...

Hubbell manufactures electrical and utility solutions across Utility Solutions (63% of 2025 revenues, covering T&D components, smart meters, and grid controls) and Electrical Solutions (37%, covering wiring devices, connectors, and industrial controls). Revenue is earned through distributors, utilities, and electrical contractors, with approximately 18,000 employees globally and top-10 customers representing ~42% of net sales.

Related stocks: VRT (Vertiv Holdings, LLC) · ACCV (Accelevation Holdings Corp.) · AYI (Acuity Inc.) · NVT (nVent Electric plc) · FPS (Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.)
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