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HBMHudbay Minerals Inc.Hold6.5·$28.58+2.73%
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Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Copper

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.58, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors.

Hudbay Minerals Inc., a diversified mining company, focuses on the exploration, development, operation, and optimization of properties in North and South America. It primarily explores for copper concentrates containing copper, gold, zinc, molybdenum concentrates, and silver. It... Read more

$28.58+2.2% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#2 of 6 Copper
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.94%
IncomeYield0.10%(5y avg 0.22%)Payout0.87%sustainable
Stop $26.60Target $29.23(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$33.60+17.6%6 analysts
$29.23our TP
$28.58price
$33.60mean
$42

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.58, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.7
P/E (Fwd)13.1
Mkt Cap$11.0B
EV/EBITDA10.4
Profit Mgn27.7%
ROE19.5%
Rev Growth27.3%
Beta2.21
Dividend0.10%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C2.25bearish
IV90%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.14Resistance $32.14

Price Targets

$27
$29
A.Upside+2.3%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.2% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HBM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.58, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $29.23 (+2.3%), stop $26.60 (−7.4%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HBM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.23 (+2.2% upside). Target $29.23 (+2.3%), stop $26.60 (−7.4%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $26.60.

What are the risks of investing in HBM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors.

Is HBM overvalued or undervalued?

Hudbay Minerals Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.7 (forward 13.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HBM?

23 analysts cover HBM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Hudbay Minerals Inc. do?Hudbay Minerals Inc., a diversified mining company, focuses on the exploration, development, operation, and...

Hudbay Minerals Inc., a diversified mining company, focuses on the exploration, development, operation, and optimization of properties in North and South America. It primarily explores for copper concentrates containing copper, gold, zinc, molybdenum concentrates, and silver. It owns 100% interest in Copper Mountain mine located approximately 20 kilometers south of Princeton, British Columbia, in the Similkameen valley. Hudbay Minerals Inc. was founded in 1927 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: ERO (Ero Copper Corp.) · TGB (Taseko Mines, Ltd.) · FCX (Freeport-McMoRan, Inc.) · IE (Ivanhoe Electric Inc.)
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