Skip to main content

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Copper

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $24.28. At $25.41 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $24.28 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Ero Copper Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and production of mining projects in Brazil. Its flagship asset includes Caraíba operations that comprise the production and sale of copper concentrates located in Bahia State, Brazil, as well as gold and silver produced... Read more

$25.41+19.4% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#1 of 6 Copper
Entry $24.28(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $21.79Target $28.87(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.4:1Setup A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$33.97+33.7%3 analysts
$28.87our TP
$25.41price
$33.97mean
$38

Wait for pullback to $24.28. At $25.41 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $24.28 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Val8.4Qual6.6Grw10.0Mom2.9Sent6.7Ins5.0Peer6.6Tech7.2Risk3.96.8OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.2
P/E (Fwd)5.8
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn33.6%
ROE34.9%
Rev Growth161.3%
Beta1.61
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.40bearish
IV81%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
9.3
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 11)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
11 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.27Resistance $32.48

Price Targets

$22
$24
$29
A.Upside+13.6%
A.R:R1.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ERO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $24.28. At $25.41 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $24.28 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $28.87 (+13.6%), stop $21.79 (−16.6%), Setup A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ERO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.87 (+19.4% upside). Target $28.87 (+13.6%), stop $21.79 (−16.6%), Setup A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $21.79.

Is ERO overvalued or undervalued?

Ero Copper Corp. trades at a P/E of 10.2 (forward 5.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ERO?

20 analysts cover ERO with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Ero Copper Corp. do?Ero Copper Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and production of mining projects in Brazil. Its flagship...

Ero Copper Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and production of mining projects in Brazil. Its flagship asset includes Caraíba operations that comprise the production and sale of copper concentrates located in Bahia State, Brazil, as well as gold and silver produced and sold as by-products. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: HBM (Hudbay Minerals Inc.) · TGB (Taseko Mines, Ltd.) · IE (Ivanhoe Electric Inc.) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation)