Skip to main content
EROEro Copper Corp.Hold6.9·$30.65+4.29%
Open full analysis

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Copper

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors.

Ero Copper Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and production of mining projects in Brazil. Its flagship asset includes Caraíba operations that comprise the production and sale of copper concentrates located in Bahia State, Brazil, as well as gold and silver produced... Read more

$30.65+4.6% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#1 of 6 Copper
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.53%
Stop $28.44Target $31.98(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$34.20+11.6%3 analysts
$31.98our TP
$30.65price
$34.20mean
$41

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.5
P/E (Fwd)6.2
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA8.0
Profit Mgn31.6%
ROE32.5%
Rev Growth110.4%
Beta1.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C2.60bearish
IV86%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.4
Support Resistance
2.7
Gap
3.0
52w Position
5.4
Extreme gap up (5.5%) - may pull back
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.15Resistance $32.63

Price Targets

$28
$32
A.Upside+4.3%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ERO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $31.98 (+4.3%), stop $28.44 (−7.8%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ERO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.98 (+4.6% upside). Target $31.98 (+4.3%), stop $28.44 (−7.8%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $28.44.

What are the risks of investing in ERO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors.

Is ERO overvalued or undervalued?

Ero Copper Corp. trades at a P/E of 10.5 (forward 6.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ERO?

21 analysts cover ERO with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Ero Copper Corp. do?Ero Copper Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and production of mining projects in Brazil. Its flagship...

Ero Copper Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and production of mining projects in Brazil. Its flagship asset includes Caraíba operations that comprise the production and sale of copper concentrates located in Bahia State, Brazil, as well as gold and silver produced and sold as by-products. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: HBM (Hudbay Minerals Inc.) · TGB (Taseko Mines, Ltd.) · IE (Ivanhoe Electric Inc.) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.)
Home Stocks ERO

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat61d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat61d ago
MSN62d ago
TradingView — Track All Markets69d ago
MarketBeat49d agoAnalyst
Kalkine Media49d ago
Moomoo62d ago
MSN62d ago
Seeking Alpha62d ago
MarketBeat62d ago
TipRanks62d ago
Investing.com63d ago
GuruFocus63d ago
TipRanks63d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance46d agoEarnings
TipRanks67d ago
Insider Monkey50d ago
Yahoo Finance50d ago
MarketBeat44d ago
MarketBeat51d ago
Loading more...