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EFOREverforth, Inc.Sell6.1·$17.76-3.32%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

EFOR has been downgraded to SELL_IF_HOLDING on a negative news modifier and sits in a falling-knife technical setup with a hard block, yet notable insider buying and a deep-value forward P/E argue the selloff may be overdone.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Cash ConversionStable
  • News Driven Sell DowngradeStable
  • Falling Knife Hard BlockStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Everforth, Inc. (EFOR) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $17.76: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Supplier: single outsourced back-office vendor.

ASGN Incorporated, rebranding to Everforth in the first half of 2026, is a leading provider of IT and digital-engineering solutions to commercial and government clients through six brands (Apex Systems, Creative Circle, CyberCoders, ECS, GlideFast, and TopBloc), organized into... Read more

$17.76+43.5% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#18 of 46 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield37.99%
Stop $16.54Target $25.52(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$29.33+65.2%6 analysts
$25.52our TP
$17.76price
$29.33mean
$38

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $17.76: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Supplier: single outsourced back-office vendor. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Everforth, Inc.

About Everforth, Inc.

ASGN Incorporated — rebranding to Everforth in the first half of 2026 — split 2025 revenue 70% Commercial and 30% Federal Government across six brands including Apex Systems, ECS, and TopBloc, with contracts directly with U.S. federal government agencies combined representing 26% of consolidated revenue and a $2.9 billion Federal Government contract backlog as of December 31, 2025. The company employed approximately 19,600 billable professionals in 2025.

ASGN's Commercial Segment sells Cloud and Infrastructure, Data and AI, Software Development, Customer Experience, Cybersecurity, and Enterprise Platform services to Fortune 1000 and mid-market clients across financial services, healthcare, and technology/media/telecom industries, building on a legacy IT-staffing business that has evolved toward higher-margin consulting work — 62% of 2025 consolidated revenue came from combined commercial and federal IT consulting. The Federal Government Segment serves defense, intelligence, and national-security agencies under three-to-five-year time-and-materials, cost-reimbursable, and firm-fixed-price contracts, supported by roughly 1,000 cybersecurity consultants (about 500 cleared) and 900 cleared AI and data professionals. ASGN's total addressable market is estimated at $680 billion, split across $490 billion in commercial IT consulting, $135 billion in government IT consulting, and $55 billion in professional staffing, and the company continues to grow through acquisitions, including its pending purchase of Quinnox Inc. announced in January 2026.

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ASGN has introduced a new single point of failure into its own back office: the 10-K discloses that the company recently outsourced certain back-office support functions to a single third-party vendor and now depends on that one relationship to meet certain business needs, with no guarantee the vendor can sustain adequate performance or that replacing it would be quick or inexpensive. That concentration sits alongside $2.1 billion of goodwill and $453.8 million of net acquired intangible assets on the balance sheet as of December 31, 2025, built up through ASGN's acquisition-heavy growth strategy, exposing the company to impairment risk if any acquired business underperforms.

See also: Technology · Information Technology Services

From Everforth, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202615d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Margin of safety: 49%
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single outsourced back-office vendor
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.7
P/E (Fwd)3.9
Mkt Cap$711M
EV/EBITDA5.9
Profit Mgn2.5%
ROE5.5%
Rev Growth0.0%
Beta0.52
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV95%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. federal government26%
    10-K Item 1: 'Revenues from contracts directly with several U.S. federal government agencies in which our Federal Government Segment is a prime contractor combined were 26 percent of consolidated revenues in 2025.'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle outsourced back-office vendor
    10-K Item 1A: 'we depend on a single third-party vendor relationship to ensure that certain of our business needs are sufficiently met'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.3
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 15d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.91Resistance $21.58

Price Targets

$17
$26
A.Upside+43.7%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (15d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EFOR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $17.76: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Supplier: single outsourced back-office vendor. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $16.54. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EFOR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.52 (+43.5% upside). Prior stop was $16.54. Stop-loss: $16.54.

What are the risks of investing in EFOR?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single outsourced back-office vendor; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is EFOR overvalued or undervalued?

Everforth, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.7 (forward 3.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EFOR?

12 analysts cover EFOR with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Everforth, Inc. do?ASGN Incorporated, rebranding to Everforth in the first half of 2026, is a leading provider of IT and...

ASGN Incorporated, rebranding to Everforth in the first half of 2026, is a leading provider of IT and digital-engineering solutions to commercial and government clients through six brands (Apex Systems, Creative Circle, CyberCoders, ECS, GlideFast, and TopBloc), organized into Commercial (70% of 2025 revenue) and Federal Government (30% of 2025 revenue) segments. Contracts directly with U.S. federal government agencies combined represented 26% of 2025 consolidated revenue.

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