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ECCEagle Point Credit Company Inc.Hold5.5·$2.62
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ECC combines a high-asymmetry recovery setup (87% upside, improving MACD) and an attractive forward valuation with a still-confirmed price downtrend and a failing Rule of 40 growth-profitability read.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Forward Valuation→Stable
  • High Asymmetry Recovery Setup→Stable
  • Confirmed Price Downtrend↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Eagle Point Credit Company Inc. (ECC) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $8.50 vs price $2.62 — ratio 3.2×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $348M below $400M minimum.

Eagle Point Credit Company is a closed ended fund launched and managed by Eagle Point Credit Management LLC. It invests in fixed income markets of the United States. The fund invests equity and junior debt tranches of collateralized loan obligations consisting primarily of below... Read more

$2.62+30.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#129 of 229 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield17.43%
IncomeYield27.48%(5y avg 16.98%)Payout2000.00%at-risk
Stop $2.53Resistance target $3.41A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst consensus$8.50+224.4%4 analysts
$3.41Resistance target
$2.62price
$8.50mean
$20

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $8.50 vs price $2.62 — ratio 3.2×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $348M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 21, MACD bearish. Market cap $348M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Eagle Point Credit Company Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:31Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $8.50 vs price $2.62 — ratio 3.2×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
Market cap $348M below $400M minimum
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 3.9), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)3.4
Mkt Cap$348M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn-80.9%
ROE-15.3%
Rev Growth-21.8%
Beta0.38
Dividend27.48%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Macd
3.7
Capitulation risk (RSI 21, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Revenue shrinking — -21.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
4.7
Declining revenue: -22%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
1.3
Dividend Safety
4.0
Erm
5.0
Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
21 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.61Resistance $3.48

Price Targets

$3
$3
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $8.50 vs price $2.62 — ratio 3.2×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Market cap $348M below $400M minimum
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 3.9), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ECC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $8.50 vs price $2.62 — ratio 3.2×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $348M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 21, MACD bearish. Market cap $348M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Resistance target $3.41 (+30.2%), stop $2.53 (−3.6%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ECC stock price target?

Resistance target: $3.41 (+30.2% upside). Resistance target $3.41 (+30.2%), stop $2.53 (−3.6%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $2.53.

What are the risks of investing in ECC?

DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $8.50 vs price $2.62 — ratio 3.2×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $348M below $400M minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 3.9), Negative free cash flow.

Is ECC overvalued or undervalued?

Eagle Point Credit Company Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 3.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ECC?

9 analysts cover ECC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Eagle Point Credit Company Inc. do?Eagle Point Credit Company is a closed ended fund launched and managed by Eagle Point Credit Management LLC. It invests...

Eagle Point Credit Company is a closed ended fund launched and managed by Eagle Point Credit Management LLC. It invests in fixed income markets of the United States. The fund invests equity and junior debt tranches of collateralized loan obligations consisting primarily of below investment grade U.S. senior secured loans. Eagle Point Credit Company was formed on March 24, 2014 and is domiciled in the United States.

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