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DNTHDianthus Therapeutics, Inc.Sell6.0·$82.31
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Dianthus Therapeutics carries the entirety of its pipeline value in a single clinical program against a backdrop of deeply negative free cash flow and business quality well below the minimum acceptable threshold; one recent earnings beat is encouraging but the prior three quarters all missed estimates, and the technical setup lacks the momentum sponsorship that typically precedes a sustained re-rating.

Thesis pillars

  • Single Asset Pipeline Concentration↑Improving
  • Quality Below Minimum Floor→Stable
  • Technical Momentum Failure↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 9, 2026

Full reasoning →

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Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc. (DNTH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.31: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Dianthus Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech developing complement inhibitors for severe autoimmune diseases, with claseprubart (C1s inhibitor) in Phase 3 for CIDP and Phase 2 for gMG and MMN, plus DNTH212 (BDCA2/BAFF-APRIL inhibitor) in Phase 1. The company has no approved... Read more

$82.31+52.1% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#41 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-2.05%
Stop $76.55Analyst target $125.16(−10% haircut)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst consensus$139.06+68.9%16 analysts
$125.16Analyst target
$82.31price
$139.06mean
$200

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.31: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc.

About Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc.

Dianthus Therapeutics' lead clinical candidate, claseprubart, is a selective C1s complement inhibitor running in three active trials: a Phase 3 CIDP program (CAPTIVATE) that achieved its interim responder-rate target in March 2026, a Phase 2 gMG program (MaGic) reporting positive top-line data in September 2025, and a Phase 2 MMN program (MoMeNtum) with top-line results expected in the second half of 2026. Net losses reached $162.3 million in 2025, up from $85.0 million in 2024.

Dianthus earns no product revenue and funds operations entirely through equity issuances. In September 2025, the company completed an underwritten public offering issuing 7,627,879 shares of common stock plus pre-funded warrants to purchase up to 1,112,121 shares; management has also sold 2,626,834 shares under an at-the-market program. Based on its current operating plan, Dianthus believes existing cash, equivalents, and investments will fund operations into 2028. Claseprubart is manufactured through contract development and manufacturing organizations. A second clinical candidate, DNTH212—a bifunctional BDCA2 and BAFF/APRIL inhibitor licensed from Nanjing Leads Biolabs Co., Ltd. on October 16, 2025—entered a Phase 1 study in December 2025 in healthy volunteers and systemic lupus erythematosus patients in China, with top-line healthy volunteer data expected in the second half of 2026. Competitors in gMG include argenx's efgartigimod (Vyvgart/Vyvgart Hytrulo, FDA-approved 2021/2023) and C5 inhibitors eculizumab (Soliris) and ravulizumab (Ultomiris); in CIDP, Vyvgart Hytrulo gained approval in June 2024.

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The entirety of Dianthus' near-term value rests on a pivotal Phase 3 readout in CIDP: following the March 2026 CAPTIVATE interim analysis, the company plans to seek regulatory approval to revise the study design and intends to file a Biologics License Application in adult CIDP patients if the trial succeeds. A second binary event is the Phase 3 gMG trial, expected to initiate in mid-2026 with top-line results anticipated in the second half of 2028—a timeline that consumes a significant portion of the company's estimated cash runway through 2028.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:51Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: claseprubart
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-17.9
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA-17.1
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-26.1%
Rev Growth294.3%
Beta0.18
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV68%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelineclaseprubart
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are substantially dependent on the success of our most advanced product candidate, claseprubart'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Current Ratio
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Moat
7.2
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -4843% of revenueRule of 40: -4549 (fail)
GatesINSIDER 0.58%=HEAVYEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 6.2>=5.5A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
50 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.43Resistance $91.24

Price Targets

$77
$125
A.Upside+52.1%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Insider activity: 0.58%=heavy
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DNTH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.31: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $76.55. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DNTH stock price target?

Analyst target: $125.16 (+52.1% upside). Prior stop was $76.55. Stop-loss: $76.55.

What are the risks of investing in DNTH?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: claseprubart; Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is DNTH overvalued or undervalued?

Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DNTH?

23 analysts cover DNTH with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $139.

What does Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc. do?Dianthus Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech developing complement inhibitors for severe autoimmune diseases, with...

Dianthus Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech developing complement inhibitors for severe autoimmune diseases, with claseprubart (C1s inhibitor) in Phase 3 for CIDP and Phase 2 for gMG and MMN, plus DNTH212 (BDCA2/BAFF-APRIL inhibitor) in Phase 1. The company has no approved products and reported net losses of $162.3 million in 2025 and $85.0 million in 2024.

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