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DCOMDime Commercial Bancshares, IncHold6.2·$41.86
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Dime Commercial Bancshares offers an attractively valued growth profile with strong near-term momentum, but mixed earnings execution and a negative risk/reward setup at current prices limit the case for new positions.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Growth Combo→Stable
  • Mixed Earnings Execution→Stable
  • Negative Asymmetry At Resistance→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Dime Commercial Bancshares, Inc (DCOM) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.5% away).

Dime Community Bancshares (recently renamed Dime Commercial Bancshares) operates Dime Community Bank, a 63-branch commercial bank across Greater Long Island, New York City, Westchester County, and New Jersey. Its loan portfolio is concentrated in commercial, multi-family, and... Read more

$41.86-0.7% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#74 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.39%(5y avg 3.39%)Payout36.10%sustainable
Stop $39.76Analyst target $41.59(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$47.80+14.2%5 analysts
$41.86price
$47.80mean
$50

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Dime Commercial Bancshares, Inc

About Dime Commercial Bancshares, Inc

Dime Community Bank operates 63 branches across Greater Long Island, the New York City boroughs, Westchester County, and New Jersey, with its loan portfolio concentrated primarily in commercial, multi-family, and residential real estate secured by properties in Greater Long Island and Manhattan. Non-owner-occupied commercial real estate totaled $2.93 billion, or 27.3% of the total loan portfolio, at December 31, 2025, while business loans totaled $3.24 billion, or 30.1%. The bank, a New York State-chartered member bank, is supervised by the Federal Reserve Board and the New York State Department of Financial Services.

Dime Community Bank earns net interest income by investing deposits, borrowings, and operating cash flows in commercial real estate, multi-family, and residential mortgage loans alongside government-agency mortgage-backed and municipal securities, supplemented by fee income from title insurance brokerage through Dime Abstract and investment products sold through Dime Financial Services. The bank's non-owner-occupied CRE exposure equaled 387% of total risk-based capital at December 31, 2025, above the 300% threshold at which federal banking agencies' 2006 CRE Guidance triggers heightened supervisory scrutiny. Outstanding subordinated debentures include $40.0 million due 2030, $160.0 million due 2032, and $74.8 million due 2034, all senior to common stock in the capital structure. The bank also carries $1.42 billion in securities whose fair value moves inversely with market interest rates.

Show full overview

Dime's credit risk is concentrated by geography: the 10-K states that, unlike larger, more geographically diversified banks, its loan portfolio consists primarily of real estate loans secured by properties in Greater Long Island and Manhattan, so local economic conditions there directly drive loan originations, borrower repayment, and collateral values. That concentration is compounded by New York City's rent-regulation regime -- the 10-K flags newly elected Mayor Zohran Mamdani's support for rent freezes and expanded tenant protections as a factor that could reduce multifamily rental income and property values, pressuring the credit quality of the bank's multi-family borrowers more than a lender diversified across less-regulated markets.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Dime Commercial Bancshares, Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 20, 202782d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.5% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.1
P/E (Fwd)9.5
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn31.2%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth18.8%
Beta1.01
Dividend2.39%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

IV40%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicGreater Long Island and Manhattan real estate loans
    10-K Item 1A: 'our loan portfolio consists primarily of real estate loans secured by commercial, multi-family and residential real estate properties located in Greater Long Island and Manhattan'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliobusiness loans30%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our portfolio of business loans totaled $3.24 billion, or 30.1% of our total loan portfolio'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfolionon-owner occupied commercial real estate27%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our portfolio of non-owner occupied commercial real estate totaled $2.93 billion, or 27.3% of our total loan portfolio'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-01Item 5.02LOW
    On May 28, 2026, the company and bank entered amended employment agreements with CEO Stuart Lubow, CFO/COO Avinash Reddy, and CCO Thomas Geisel, removing perquisite allowances ($100,000/$50,000/$50,000 respectively) and adding those amounts to base salary. Routine compensation restructuring; no departures.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.52%=EXTREMEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.1>=5.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.31Resistance $43.38

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.7%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Insider activity: 0.52%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-20 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DCOM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $41.59 reached (−0.7%), stop $39.76 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DCOM stock price target?

Analyst target $41.59 reached (−0.7% from $41.86); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $41.59 reached (−0.7%), stop $39.76 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $39.76.

What are the risks of investing in DCOM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.5% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Is DCOM overvalued or undervalued?

Dime Commercial Bancshares, Inc trades at a P/E of 15.1 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DCOM?

11 analysts cover DCOM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $48.

What does Dime Commercial Bancshares, Inc do?Dime Community Bancshares (recently renamed Dime Commercial Bancshares) operates Dime Community Bank, a 63-branch...

Dime Community Bancshares (recently renamed Dime Commercial Bancshares) operates Dime Community Bank, a 63-branch commercial bank across Greater Long Island, New York City, Westchester County, and New Jersey. Its loan portfolio is concentrated in commercial, multi-family, and residential real estate in Greater Long Island and Manhattan, with non-owner-occupied CRE at 27.3% and business loans at 30.1% of total loans as of December 31, 2025.

Related stocks: GCBC (Greene County Bancorp, Inc.) · HBNC (Horizon Bancorp, Inc.) · MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · CARE (Carter Bankshares, Inc.) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation)
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