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CSHRCoinShares PLCSell4.9·$4.24
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

CoinShares screens as deeply undervalued with strong ROE and margins, but a 32% revenue decline, a severe earnings-quality red flag, and a confirmed technical downtrend from a 71% drawdown keep the setup speculative and risk-laden.

Thesis pillars

  • Margin Of Safety Valuation→Stable
  • Roe Quality Strength→Stable
  • Revenue Decline Risk→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CoinShares PLC (CSHR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.24: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 6.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

CoinShares PLC engages in the creating financial products with digital assets and blockchain technology business in Jersey. It operates through three segments: Asset Management, Capital Markets, and Principal Investments. The company offers CoinShares Physical, CoinShares... Read more

$4.24+80.4% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#44 of 50 Capital Markets
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-301.23%
IncomeYield12.53%Payout57.87%sustainable
Stop $3.94Analyst target $7.65(−15% haircut)A.R:R 6.3:1
Analyst consensus$9.00+112.3%2 analysts
$7.65Analyst target
$4.24price
$9.00mean
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.24: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 6.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 40. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 18, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.7
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$559M
EV/EBITDA-0.3
Profit Mgn9.3%
ROE3.0%
Rev Growth-48.9%
Beta—
Dividend12.53%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

IV58%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -48.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -49%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roe
1.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Current Ratio
4.4
Net Margin
4.6
Moat
5.4
Piotroski F
5.6
Gross Margin
10.0
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -13214% FCF/NINo competitive moatRule of 40: -1276 (fail)
GatesINSIDER 0.31%=HEAVYDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5A.R:R 6.3 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.70Resistance $5.06

Price Targets

$4
$8
A.Upside+80.4%
A.R:R6.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Insider activity: 0.31%=heavy
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-18 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSHR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.24: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 6.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 40. Prior stop was $3.94. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSHR stock price target?

Analyst target: $7.65 (+80.4% upside). Prior stop was $3.94. Stop-loss: $3.94.

What are the risks of investing in CSHR?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is CSHR overvalued or undervalued?

CoinShares PLC trades at a P/E of 4.7 (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSHR?

8 analysts cover CSHR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $9.

What does CoinShares PLC do?CoinShares PLC engages in the creating financial products with digital assets and blockchain technology business in...

CoinShares PLC engages in the creating financial products with digital assets and blockchain technology business in Jersey. It operates through three segments: Asset Management, Capital Markets, and Principal Investments. The company offers CoinShares Physical, CoinShares Valkyrie, CoinShares XBT, and The Blockchain Global Equity Index products. It also provides hedge fund solutions, indices, venture services, and capital markets services. CoinShares PLC was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Saint Helier, Jersey.

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