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Copart, Inc. (CPRT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.17 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: insurance company sellers (81.0%); Weak overall score: 4.6/10.

Copart operates an online vehicle auction and remarketing platform across the U.S. (83% of $4.6B fiscal 2025 revenues), U.K., Germany, Brazil, Canada, UAE, and other markets. Revenue comes primarily from auction fees; insurance companies supplied 81% of vehicles processed in... Read more

$33.17+11.9% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#17 of 21 Specialty Business Services
Stop $31.89Target $37.12(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$42.67+28.6%9 analysts
$37.12our TP
$33.17price
$42.67mean
$55

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.17 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: insurance company sellers (81.0%); Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: insurance company sellers (81.0%)
Weak overall score: 4.6/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.8
P/E (Fwd)19.7
Mkt Cap$31.9B
EV/EBITDA13.8
Profit Mgn33.8%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth-3.6%
Beta1.14
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.59bullish
IV51%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerinsurance company sellers81%
    10-K Item 1: 'We obtained 81%, 81%, and 83% of the total number of vehicles processed during fiscal 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively, from insurance company sellers.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -3.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
1.6
Declining revenue: -4%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
7.6
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $32.43Resistance $34.52

Price Targets

$32
$37
A.Upside+11.9%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPRT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.17 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: insurance company sellers (81.0%); Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $31.89. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.12 (+11.9% upside). Prior stop was $31.89. Stop-loss: $31.89.

What are the risks of investing in CPRT?

Concentration risk — Customer: insurance company sellers (81.0%); Weak overall score: 4.6/10; Weak growth.

Is CPRT overvalued or undervalued?

Copart, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 19.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CPRT?

20 analysts cover CPRT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Copart, Inc. do?Copart operates an online vehicle auction and remarketing platform across the U.S. (83% of $4.6B fiscal 2025 revenues),...

Copart operates an online vehicle auction and remarketing platform across the U.S. (83% of $4.6B fiscal 2025 revenues), U.K., Germany, Brazil, Canada, UAE, and other markets. Revenue comes primarily from auction fees; insurance companies supplied 81% of vehicles processed in fiscal 2025.

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