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CPRTCopart, Inc.Sell5.3·$31.13+0.55%
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Copart, Inc. (CPRT) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $31.13 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: insurance company sellers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. segment (83.0%).

Copart is a global vehicle remarketing company operating online auctions in 11 countries, processing salvage and other vehicles primarily on behalf of insurance companies, which supplied 81% of fiscal 2025 volume. Revenue ($4.6B in fiscal 2025) comes from auction and related... Read more

$31.13+16.9% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#14 of 21 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.36%
Stop $29.06Target $36.06(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$41.44+33.1%9 analysts
$36.06our TP
$31.13price
$41.44mean
$55

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $31.13 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: insurance company sellers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. segment (83.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 86d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Copart, Inc.

About Copart, Inc.

Copart's U.S. segment generated 83.0% of the company's $4.6 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue, with the remaining 17.0% from international operations spanning the U.K., Germany, Brazil, Canada, and seven other countries. Insurance companies supplied 81% of vehicles processed in fiscal 2025. Copart opened six new operational facilities across the U.S. and Spain during fiscal 2025, and operating income reached $1.7 billion.

Copart earns revenue primarily as an agent—collecting transaction fees on vehicles sold on behalf of sellers rather than taking title—though it acts as a principal in the U.K., Germany, and Spain, purchasing vehicles outright and reselling them for its own account. Service fees include vehicle listing, selling, transportation, storage, title processing, bidding, and loading charges; principal-model revenue represents the gross vehicle selling price. Insurance companies represent 81% of vehicle supply in fiscal 2025, with dealers, fleet operators, rental car companies, and individuals comprising the remainder. The proprietary VB3 auction platform allows bidders anywhere with internet access to participate without traveling to a physical facility, which the company believes increases buyer competition and average selling prices. Operating costs include labor, transportation (miles traveled and fuel rates), facility maintenance, property-related taxes, and costs of vehicles sold. Copart competes against other auction and vehicle remarketing service companies as well as large vehicle dismantlers that may source salvage vehicles directly from insurers.

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Weather introduces meaningful supply volatility: mild conditions reduce accident frequency and shrink salvage vehicle inventory, while catastrophic events surge volume but impose operational costs and facility capacity constraints. In fiscal 2025, Copart recognized substantial additional costs associated with Hurricanes Helene and Milton, with capacity constraints in impacted U.S. regions weighing on operating results in certain quarters. Facility expansion strategy may be subject to zoning restrictions, use-permit hurdles, and no-growth regulatory environments that could limit capacity additions in specific markets.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Business Services

From Copart, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 202686d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.0 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: insurance company sellers (81.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. segment (83.0%)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.2
P/E (Fwd)18.3
Mkt Cap$29.7B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn33.5%
ROE17.6%
Rev Growth2.1%
Beta1.00
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.22bullish
IV54%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerinsurance company sellers81%
    10-K Item 1: 'We obtained 81%, 81%, and 83% of the total number of vehicles processed during fiscal 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively, from insurance company sellers.'
  • HIGHGeographicU.S. segment83%
    10-K Item 1: 'For the year ended July 31, 2025, we generated 83.0% of our revenue in our U.S. segment and 17.0% in our international segment.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
3.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.8
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 86d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.96Resistance $35.66

Price Targets

$29
$36
A.Upside+15.8%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (86d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPRT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $31.13 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: insurance company sellers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. segment (83.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $29.06. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.06 (+16.9% upside). Prior stop was $29.06. Stop-loss: $29.06.

What are the risks of investing in CPRT?

Concentration risk — Customer: insurance company sellers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. segment (83.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is CPRT overvalued or undervalued?

Copart, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.2 (forward 18.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CPRT?

20 analysts cover CPRT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Copart, Inc. do?Copart is a global vehicle remarketing company operating online auctions in 11 countries, processing salvage and other...

Copart is a global vehicle remarketing company operating online auctions in 11 countries, processing salvage and other vehicles primarily on behalf of insurance companies, which supplied 81% of fiscal 2025 volume. Revenue ($4.6B in fiscal 2025) comes from auction and related fees on vehicles sold through its VB3 virtual platform. Its proprietary technology and global buyer network create a scale advantage difficult to replicate.

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