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CLDXCelldex Therapeutics, Inc.Sell5.3·$31.27+4.37%
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Celldex Therapeutics, Inc. (CLDX) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.27: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 7.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality.

Celldex Therapeutics develops antibodies targeting mast cell biology for severe inflammatory and allergic diseases, with no product revenue and an accumulated deficit of $1.8 billion at December 31, 2025. The pipeline centers on barzolvolimab, a KIT antibody in Phase 3 CSU... Read more

$31.27+65.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#64 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-5.14%
Stop $29.08Target $51.78(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 7.1:1
Analyst target$57.53+84.0%15 analysts
$51.78our TP
$31.27price
$57.53mean
$90

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.27: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 7.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.80, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Celldex Therapeutics, Inc.

About Celldex Therapeutics, Inc.

Barzolvolimab, Celldex Therapeutics' lead KIT-targeting antibody, drives the company's entire near-term pipeline as it entered two Phase 3 trials in chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU) in July 2024, with enrollment completing in February 2026 and 1,939 patients enrolled across 43 countries and more than 500 sites. Celldex had $518.6 million in cash and marketable securities at December 31, 2025, having incurred an operating loss of $287.4 million in 2025 against zero product revenue.

Celldex funds operations entirely through equity and debt financings, licensing fees, and grants, with no approved products. The company spent $111.8 million on clinical trials and $47.1 million on contract manufacturing in 2025, up from $73.0 million and $16.4 million respectively in 2024. Barzolvolimab is under investigation across four indications: CSU (Phase 3, topline Q4 2026), chronic inducible urticaria including cold urticaria and symptomatic dermographism (Phase 3, initiated December 2025), prurigo nodularis (Phase 2, topline expected summer 2026), and atopic dermatitis (Phase 2, topline expected late 2026). CDX-622, a bispecific antibody targeting TSLP and SCF, completed single ascending dose testing with positive data presented in October 2025 and initiated a Phase 1 proof-of-mechanism asthma study in January 2026. Manufacturing is delegated to contract manufacturers with no proprietary production infrastructure. A contingent milestone payment of $52.5 million would become payable to former Kolltan stockholders upon FDA or EMA approval of certain candidates, payable in cash or stock at Celldex's election.

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The entire company valuation depends on a single binary readout: the two EMBARQ-CSU Phase 3 studies, with topline data expected Q4 2026. Phase 2 CSU data showed a statistically significant mean UAS7 change of -23.87 for the 300 mg Q8W arm versus -10.47 for placebo at Week 12, and 71% complete response (UAS7=0) in the 150 mg Q4W arm at Week 52. If either Phase 3 study fails to replicate that efficacy, Celldex would face significant capital constraints given a $287.4 million annual operating loss rate, $1.8 billion accumulated deficit, and no revenue-generating product to offset spending.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Celldex Therapeutics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-6.9
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA-6.6
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-48.9%
Rev Growth-97.8%
Beta0.93
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.59bullish
IV85%elevated
Max Pain$40+27.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
3.2
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -14598% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
2.6
Value Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 6.5>=5.5A.R:R 7.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.80EARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.38Resistance $32.38

Price Targets

$29
$52
A.Upside+65.6%
A.R:R7.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CLDX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.27: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 7.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $29.08. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CLDX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.78 (+65.6% upside). Prior stop was $29.08. Stop-loss: $29.08.

What are the risks of investing in CLDX?

Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).

Is CLDX overvalued or undervalued?

Celldex Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -6.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CLDX?

22 analysts cover CLDX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $58.

What does Celldex Therapeutics, Inc. do?Celldex Therapeutics develops antibodies targeting mast cell biology for severe inflammatory and allergic diseases,...

Celldex Therapeutics develops antibodies targeting mast cell biology for severe inflammatory and allergic diseases, with no product revenue and an accumulated deficit of $1.8 billion at December 31, 2025. The pipeline centers on barzolvolimab, a KIT antibody in Phase 3 CSU trials with topline data expected Q4 2026, funded by $518.6 million in cash.

Related stocks: AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · INCY (Incyte Corporation) · ADMA (ADMA Biologics Inc) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · AAPG (Ascentage Pharma Group Internat)
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