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CDWCDW CorporationSell5.0·$162.66
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

A mostly consistent earnings performer in IT distribution carries leverage of 2.4 times debt-to-equity and an elevated put/call ratio signaling institutional hedging; with the stock already above its near-term resistance target and no identifiable competitive moat, the risk/reward geometry disfavors new positions.

Thesis pillars

  • High Leverage Limits Flexibility↓Deteriorating
  • Absence Of Competitive Moat→Stable
  • Elevated Options Hedging Pressure↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CDW Corporation (CDW) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $162.66 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away).

CDW Corporation provides IT solutions—hardware, software, and services—to over 250,000 business, government, education, and healthcare customers in the US (approximately 90% of net sales), UK, and Canada through approximately 10,500 customer-facing coworkers. In 2025, total net... Read more

$162.66-14.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#34 of 44 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield3.33%
IncomeYield1.54%(5y avg 1.25%)Payout30.23%sustainable
Stop $152.40Analyst target $138.43(reached)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst consensus$159.11-2.2%9 analysts
$162.66price
$159.11mean
$148
$171

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $162.66 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.1% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.6
P/E (Fwd)13.5
Mkt Cap$20.3B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn4.6%
ROE44.0%
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta0.94
Dividend1.54%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV67%elevated
Max Pain$100-38.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
77 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $130.04Resistance $166.15

Price Targets

A.Upside-14.9%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CDW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $162.66 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $152.40. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the CDW stock price target?

Analyst target $138.43 reached (−14.9% from $162.66); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $152.40. Stop-loss: $152.40.

What are the risks of investing in CDW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.1% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).

Is CDW overvalued or undervalued?

CDW Corporation trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CDW?

16 analysts cover CDW with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $159.

What does CDW Corporation do?CDW Corporation provides IT solutions—hardware, software, and services—to over 250,000 business, government, education,...

CDW Corporation provides IT solutions—hardware, software, and services—to over 250,000 business, government, education, and healthcare customers in the US (approximately 90% of net sales), UK, and Canada through approximately 10,500 customer-facing coworkers. In 2025, total net sales reached $22.4 billion with hardware at 71.6%, software at 18.7%, and services at 9.1% of that total.

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