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CATYCathay General BancorpHold6.0·$58.39+0.29%
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Cathay General Bancorp (CATY) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and construction loans.

Cathay General Bancorp is the holding company of Cathay Bank, a California state-chartered commercial bank with $24.23B in total assets and $19.94B in net loans as of December 31, 2025. The bank serves Chinese-American communities through 61 US branches and one Hong Kong branch,... Read more

$58.39-0.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#63 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.47%(5y avg 3.21%)Payout28.87%sustainable
Stop $56.03Target $57.91(resistance)A.R:R -2.5:1
Analyst target$57.40-1.7%5 analysts
$57.91our TP
$58.39price
$57.40mean
$47
$70

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and construction loans. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Cathay General Bancorp

About Cathay General Bancorp

Cathay General Bancorp held $24.23 billion in total assets, $20.89 billion in deposits, and $2.93 billion in shareholders' equity at December 31, 2025, operating as the parent of Cathay Bank — a California state-chartered commercial bank regulated by the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation (DFPI) and the FDIC. The bank serves Chinese-American communities across 62 U.S. branches in 10 states plus a branch in Hong Kong, with primary concentration in California markets spanning Southern California (24 branches) and Northern California (17 branches).

Cathay Bank generates revenue predominantly through net interest income on its commercial real estate, commercial, and residential mortgage loan portfolio. Net loans stood at $19.94 billion at December 31, 2025, with approximately $10.90 billion attributed to commercial real estate and construction loans — the dominant lending category. The deposit base funds these loans, attracted through personal contacts, multilingual staff fluent in Chinese dialects and Vietnamese, Saturday banking, and internet banking. Loan originations come through existing clients, walk-in clients, broker referrals, and advertising across branches in New York (9), Washington state (4), Illinois (2), Texas (2), and four additional states. Loans exceeding internal lending limits are syndicated with correspondent banks to limit credit exposure.

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The credit cycle position warrants monitoring: Cathay Bank's allowance for loan losses totaled $195.9 million against net charge-offs of $35.7 million in 2025, with a provision for credit losses of $72.6 million taken in light of then-current economic conditions. The 10-K describes economic recovery in portions of Los Angeles, San Diego, Riverside, and San Bernardino counties — where many commercial real estate clients are based — as uneven and in some areas rather slow. If CRE valuations across these California-concentrated markets deteriorate, the provision trajectory may increase, pressuring earnings.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Cathay General Bancorp's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: California
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and construction loans
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.0
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn43.2%
ROE11.4%
Rev Growth14.1%
Beta0.86
Dividend2.47%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicCalifornia
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our banking operations are concentrated primarily in California, and secondarily in New York, Washington, Illinois, Texas, Maryland, Massachusetts, Nevada, New Jersey, and Hong Kong.'
  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate and construction loans
    10-K Item 1A: 'As of December 31, 2025, we had approximately $10.90 billion in commercial real estate and construction loans.'
  • MEDIUMregulatoryCalifornia DFPI
    10-K Item 1: 'Cathay Bank is regulated as a California commercial bank by the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation ("DFPI") and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation ("FDIC").'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -2.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.95Resistance $59.09

Price Targets

$56
$58
A.Upside-0.8%
A.R:R-2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CATY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and construction loans. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $57.91 (-0.8%), stop $56.03 (−4.2%), A.R:R -2.5:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CATY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $57.91 (-0.8% upside). Target $57.91 (-0.8%), stop $56.03 (−4.2%), A.R:R -2.5:1. Stop-loss: $56.03.

What are the risks of investing in CATY?

Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and construction loans; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CATY overvalued or undervalued?

Cathay General Bancorp trades at a P/E of 12.0 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CATY?

10 analysts cover CATY with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $57.

What does Cathay General Bancorp do?Cathay General Bancorp is the holding company of Cathay Bank, a California state-chartered commercial bank with $24.23B...

Cathay General Bancorp is the holding company of Cathay Bank, a California state-chartered commercial bank with $24.23B in total assets and $19.94B in net loans as of December 31, 2025. The bank serves Chinese-American communities through 61 US branches and one Hong Kong branch, offering commercial real estate loans, C&I lending, and SBA loans. Banking operations are concentrated primarily in California, secondarily in New York and other states.

Related stocks: NIC (Nicolet Bankshares Inc.) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · GABC (German American Bancorp, Inc.) · CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.)
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