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CASHPathward Financial, Inc.Hold5.5·$82.91+1.67%
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Pathward Financial, Inc. (CASH) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: solar/alternative energy in term lending (60.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: nationally chartered bank.

Pathward Financial is a nationally chartered bank holding company operating through Partner Solutions (prepaid cards, payment processing, consumer and tax lending) and Commercial Finance (working capital, equipment finance, structured finance) business lines, serving underbanked... Read more

$82.91+10.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#107 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.25%(5y avg 0.36%)Payout2.38%sustainable
Stop $79.11Target $91.38(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$107.50+29.7%2 analysts
$91.38our TP
$82.91price
$107.50mean
$108

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: solar/alternative energy in term lending (60.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: nationally chartered bank. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 47d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Pathward Financial, Inc.

About Pathward Financial, Inc.

Pathward Financial held approximately $7.2 billion in total assets at September 30, 2025, with $4.61 billion in net loans and leases (64% of assets) dominated by commercial finance and funded primarily through deposits gathered via fintech program-manager partnerships. The nationally chartered bank operates two business lines — Partner Solutions (prepaid cards, payment processing, consumer and tax lending) and Commercial Finance (working capital, equipment finance, structured finance) — and is subject to OCC and FDIC oversight as a nationally chartered bank holding company.

Pathward earns fee income and net interest income by partnering with fintech program managers to issue prepaid debit cards, process payments, originate tax refund advance loans for over 42,000 independent tax offices, and fund consumer credit programs — all generating deposits deployed into Commercial Finance. Commercial finance originations totaled $11.5 billion in fiscal 2025, spanning term loans, asset-based lending, factoring, equipment leases, SBA/USDA government-guaranteed facilities, and warehouse finance. Within the term lending portfolio, 60% of exposure concentrates in solar and alternative energy construction projects that convert to longer-term government-guaranteed facilities upon completion. The company sold $1.16 billion in commercial finance loans and $2.35 billion in consumer finance loans during fiscal 2025, retaining the non-guaranteed portions of government-backed loans. A limited number of program manager relationships are particularly significant to deposits, total assets, and income — the 10-K identifies this concentration as a material risk.

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Pathward's nationally chartered bank status means total assets approaching $10 billion trigger a dual cliff: heightened regulatory requirements and reduced interchange income from Durbin Amendment debit card fee caps. The 10-K explicitly flags this threshold, noting that if total assets exceed $10 billion as of any December 31, both consequences apply. At September 30, 2025, assets stood at approximately $7.2 billion — a roughly $2.8 billion cushion. Separately, the company disclosed a material weakness in internal controls over financial reporting as of September 30, 2025, with management concluding disclosure controls and procedures were not effective, which could attract heightened regulatory scrutiny.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Pathward Financial, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202647d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: solar/alternative energy in term lending (60.0%)
Concentration risk — Regulatory: nationally chartered bank
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.7
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn24.3%
ROE22.8%
Rev Growth-3.7%
Beta0.62
Dividend0.25%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.53bullish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$50-39.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliosolar/alternative energy in term lending60%
    10-K Item 1: '60% of the term lending portfolio exposure is concentrated in solar/alternative energy'
  • MEDIUMCustomerprogram manager relationships
    10-K Item 1A: 'a limited number of program manager relationships are particularly significant to our operations'
  • HIGHregulatorynationally chartered bank
    10-K Item 1: 'As a nationally chartered bank, Pathward sits at the hub of the financial ecosystem'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -3.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.6
Earnings Growth
3.3
Declining revenue: -4%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.3
Support Resistance
2.4
52w Position
6.4
GatesMomentum 7.7>=5.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 47d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $77.53Resistance $84.57

Price Targets

$79
$91
A.Upside+10.2%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts9
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$108

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (47d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CASH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: solar/alternative energy in term lending (60.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: nationally chartered bank. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $91.38 (+10.2%), stop $79.11 (−4.8%), A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CASH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $91.38 (+10.2% upside). Target $91.38 (+10.2%), stop $79.11 (−4.8%), A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $79.11.

What are the risks of investing in CASH?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: solar/alternative energy in term lending (60.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: nationally chartered bank; Weak growth.

Is CASH overvalued or undervalued?

Pathward Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.7 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CASH?

9 analysts cover CASH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $108.

What does Pathward Financial, Inc. do?Pathward Financial is a nationally chartered bank holding company operating through Partner Solutions (prepaid cards,...

Pathward Financial is a nationally chartered bank holding company operating through Partner Solutions (prepaid cards, payment processing, consumer and tax lending) and Commercial Finance (working capital, equipment finance, structured finance) business lines, serving underbanked individuals and small businesses nationwide. Deposits gathered through fintech program-manager partnerships are deployed into $4.61 billion in net loans at September 30, 2025, representing 64% of total assets.

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · GABC (German American Bancorp, Inc.) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation) · BFC (Bank First Corporation)
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