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BrightView Holdings, Inc. (BV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.89: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. (Note: Risk dimension 3.8/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.)

BrightView Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides commercial landscaping services in the United States. It operates in two segments, Maintenance Services and Development Services. The Maintenance Services segment delivers a suite of recurring commercial landscaping... Read more

$11.89+20.4% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#20 of 21 Specialty Business Services
Stop $11.25Target $14.32(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst target$16.46+38.4%9 analysts
$14.32our TP
$11.89price
$16.46mean
$24

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.89: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. (Note: Risk dimension 3.8/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)170.0
P/E (Fwd)14.2
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn1.9%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth2.6%
Beta1.29
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

IV188%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.0
Quality Rank
2.2
Value Rank
4.5

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 5 days

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.5
Roe
1.0
Net Margin
1.0
Roa
1.9
Current Ratio
4.8
Moat
5.0
Fcf Quality
5.5
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality warning: 73% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.1
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.7
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 3.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.34Resistance $12.75

Price Targets

$11
$14
A.Upside+20.4%
A.R:R3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.89: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. (Note: Risk dimension 3.8/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $11.25. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.32 (+20.4% upside). Prior stop was $11.25. Stop-loss: $11.25.

What are the risks of investing in BV?

Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is BV overvalued or undervalued?

BrightView Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 170.0 (forward 14.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BV?

18 analysts cover BV with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $16.

What does BrightView Holdings, Inc. do?BrightView Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides commercial landscaping services in the United States. It...

BrightView Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides commercial landscaping services in the United States. It operates in two segments, Maintenance Services and Development Services. The Maintenance Services segment delivers a suite of recurring commercial landscaping services, including mowing, gardening, mulching and snow removal, water management, irrigation maintenance, tree care, and golf course maintenance. Its customers' properties include corporate and commercial properties, homeowners associations, public parks, hotels and resorts, airport authorities, municipalities, hospitals and other healthcare facilities, educational institutions, restaurants and retail, and golf courses. The Development Services segment offers landscape architecture and development services for new facilities and redesign projects. This segment also provides project design and management services, landscape architecture and installation, irrigation installation, tree moving and installation, pool and water features, sports field, specialty turf maintenance, and other services. It operates as official field consultant to Major League Baseball. The company was formerly known as BrightView Acquisition Holdings, Inc. BrightView Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Blue Bell, Pennsylvania.

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