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BUSEFirst Busey CorporationHold6.2·$28.79+1.11%
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First Busey Corporation (BUSE) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

First Busey Corporation, an $18.10 billion financial holding company, operates Busey Bank through 79 banking centers in 10 states — 50 in Illinois — along with $15.66 billion in Wealth Management assets under care and the FirsTech payment processing subsidiary. Revenue comes... Read more

$28.79-1.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#42 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.61%(5y avg 4.06%)Payout41.56%sustainable
Stop $27.64Target $28.32(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$28.86+0.2%7 analysts
$28.32our TP
$28.79price
$28.86mean
$27
$32

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About First Busey Corporation

About First Busey Corporation

First Busey Corporation held $18.10 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, following the March 2025 CrossFirst Bankshares acquisition that expanded Busey Bank to 79 banking centers across 10 states. Wealth Management assets under care stood at $15.66 billion. Illinois anchors the footprint with 50 of the 79 banking centers, and Busey Bank ranked fourth in total Illinois deposits among 349 in-state institutions as of June 30, 2025.

First Busey earns revenue through three operating businesses. Busey Bank's principal income comes from interest and fees on commercial, CRE, real estate construction, and agricultural loans, along with wealth management fees and payment technology solutions revenue via FirsTech. The Wealth Management business serves individuals, businesses, and foundations through investment management, trust and estate advisory, brokerage, and farm management services. FirsTech delivers multi-channel payment processing to clients in financial services, utilities, insurance, and telecommunications. The company expanded its multi-state franchise through CrossFirst Bankshares (March 2025, adding banking centers in Kansas, Oklahoma, Colorado, Arizona, Texas, and New Mexico) and Merchants and Manufacturers Bank Corporation (April 2024, adding suburban Chicago presence). CRE is a significant component of the loan portfolio, with owner-occupied and non-owner-occupied categories each carrying distinct repayment risk profiles that could adversely affect credit quality in a downturn.

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Illinois represents the core of Busey Bank's deposit franchise: 50 of its 79 banking centers are located in the state, and the bank ranked fourth in total deposits within Illinois as of June 30, 2025. The Federal Reserve serves as Busey Bank's primary federal regulator; recent Fed guidance has signaled efforts to streamline examination processes, which the 10-K characterizes as potentially favorable to operations. Separately, CRE concentration is a named credit risk — if loan portfolio concentrations are not effectively monitored, the company notes heightened credit losses and earnings volatility may result.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From First Busey Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14

Recent Developments — First Busey Corporation

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.8
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn27.6%
ROE9.4%
Rev Growth143.4%
Beta0.72
Dividend3.61%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV118%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicIllinois
    10-K Item 1: 'Busey Bank now has a total of 79 banking centers across 10 states, with 50 in Illinois'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfolioCRE
    10-K Item 1A: 'CRE is a significant component of Busey's loan portfolio and is inherently sensitive to broader economic and market fluctuations'
  • HIGHregulatoryFederal Reserve
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Federal Reserve, Busey Bank's primary federal regulator'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-22Item 5.02LOW
    On May 20, 2026, stockholders approved the First Busey Corporation Second Amended 2020 Equity Incentive Plan, adding 2,100,000 shares for equity awards. Routine compensatory arrangement; no officer departure or appointment disclosed.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.58Resistance $28.90

Price Targets

$28
$28
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BUSE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $28.32 (-1.6%), stop $27.64 (−4.2%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BUSE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.32 (-1.6% upside). Target $28.32 (-1.6%), stop $27.64 (−4.2%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $27.64.

What are the risks of investing in BUSE?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away).

Is BUSE overvalued or undervalued?

First Busey Corporation trades at a P/E of 11.8 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BUSE?

14 analysts cover BUSE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $29.

What does First Busey Corporation do?First Busey Corporation, an $18.10 billion financial holding company, operates Busey Bank through 79 banking centers in...

First Busey Corporation, an $18.10 billion financial holding company, operates Busey Bank through 79 banking centers in 10 states — 50 in Illinois — along with $15.66 billion in Wealth Management assets under care and the FirsTech payment processing subsidiary. Revenue comes from banking interest and fees, wealth management fees, and payment technology solutions. Illinois anchors the franchise, with Busey Bank ranking fourth in total state deposits among 349 in-state institutions.

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