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BKUBankUnited, Inc.Sell5.3·$48.38-1.18%
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BankUnited, Inc. (BKU) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $48.38 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC.

BankUnited, Inc. is a $35.0 billion asset national bank holding company headquartered in Miami Lakes, Florida, with operations in Florida, New York Tri-State, Dallas, Atlanta, and Charlotte. It earns net interest income from commercial loans, commercial real estate, and... Read more

$48.38+0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#121 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.70%(5y avg 3.11%)Payout34.64%sustainable
Stop $46.35Target $48.76(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$52.73+9.0%11 analysts
$48.76our TP
$48.38price
$52.73mean
$46
$60

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $48.38 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About BankUnited, Inc.

About BankUnited, Inc.

BankUnited, Inc. held $35.0 billion in total consolidated assets at December 31, 2025, deployed across commercial loans, commercial real estate, and residential mortgages primarily in Florida and the New York Tri-State area. The bank operates as a national banking association supervised by the OCC, with BankUnited, Inc. as the bank holding company subject to Federal Reserve Board oversight under the Bank Holding Company Act. The company recently expanded into Dallas, Atlanta, and Charlotte.

BankUnited generates revenue primarily through net interest income on commercial and commercial real estate lending to small and middle-market businesses, supplemented by fee income from treasury and cash management services. Two commercial lending subsidiaries extend the core business: Pinnacle, headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona, provides essential use equipment lease financing to state and local governmental entities; Bridge, headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland, focuses on business equipment and franchise financing, though Bridge lines are being de-emphasized due to risk/return and liquidity concerns. Residential mortgages are purchased through correspondent channels nationally rather than originated directly, diversifying geographic credit exposure across that book. Deposit growth strategy targets commercial and small business accounts with emphasis on the title services and HOA industry segments. The bank competes against community banks, large national banks, private credit funds, and FinTech companies across its primary Florida and New York markets.

Show full overview

BankUnited's operations concentrate in Florida and the New York Tri-State area, two markets the 10-K characterizes as highly susceptible to local economic conditions and severe weather. Florida borrowers have incurred or may incur significantly higher property and casualty insurance premiums following recent hurricane seasons, which could reduce real estate values and impair debt service capacity across a meaningful portion of the loan portfolio. The New York region has experienced population declines, and the office sector in both markets faces ongoing vacancy pressure from remote and hybrid work trends, which could weigh on commercial real estate loan fundamentals if occupancy rates continue to fall.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From BankUnited, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — BankUnited, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.7
P/E (Fwd)10.7
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn26.3%
ROE9.2%
Rev Growth3.7%
Beta1.18
Dividend2.70%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.44bullish
IV119%elevated
Max Pain$55+13.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicFlorida and New York Tri-State area
    10-K Item 1A: 'our business is currently concentrated in Florida and the New York tri-state area'
  • HIGHregulatoryOCC
    10-K Item 1: 'As a national bank, BankUnited is subject to ongoing and comprehensive supervision, regulation, examination and enforcement by the OCC'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfolioloans secured by real estate
    10-K Item 1A: 'A material portion of our loans are secured by residential or commercial real estate'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-21Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved the Amended and Restated 2023 Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan on May 21, 2026, increasing shares available by 1,500,000 to 2,301,549 total shares and extending the plan termination date to May 21, 2036.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-12Item 5.02LOW
    CFO James Mackey's change-in-control retention benefit modified on May 11, 2026 to a double-trigger severance of two times annual base salary if terminated without cause or for good reason within two years of a change in control, superseding July 22, 2025 letter agreement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.3
Revenue Growth
3.4

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.4
Quality Rank
2.8
Value Rank
5.6
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $44.89Resistance $49.75

Price Targets

$46
$49
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BKU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $48.38 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $46.35. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BKU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.76 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $46.35. Stop-loss: $46.35.

What are the risks of investing in BKU?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is BKU overvalued or undervalued?

BankUnited, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.7 (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BKU?

15 analysts cover BKU with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $53.

What does BankUnited, Inc. do?BankUnited, Inc. is a $35.0 billion asset national bank holding company headquartered in Miami Lakes, Florida, with...

BankUnited, Inc. is a $35.0 billion asset national bank holding company headquartered in Miami Lakes, Florida, with operations in Florida, New York Tri-State, Dallas, Atlanta, and Charlotte. It earns net interest income from commercial loans, commercial real estate, and purchased residential mortgages targeting small and middle-market businesses, supervised by the OCC as a national banking association.

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation) · GABC (German American Bancorp, Inc.) · INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.)
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