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ASHAshland Inc.Sell5.8·$72.67
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9 and positive momentum with volume accumulation reflect genuine balance-sheet strength and recent buying interest; however, three of the last four quarters missed earnings estimates with an average shortfall of roughly 7%, the price has reached its resistance target leaving virtually no upside, and an overbought RSI of 79 alongside 14% short interest suggest the risk/reward has deteriorated to a level that warrants reducing exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Price Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • Price Exhaustion Negative Return→Stable
  • Strong Piotroski Financial Health→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 20, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ashland Inc. (ASH) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $72.67 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland," the "Company," "we" and "our" used herein refer to Ashland Inc., a Delaware Corporation, and its predecessors, and its consolidated subsidiaries, except where... Read more

$72.67-3.7% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#14 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield8.09%
IncomeYield2.31%(5y avg 1.75%)Payout106.73%at-risk
Stop $69.47Analyst target $70.00(reached)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst consensus$80.45+10.7%11 analysts
$72.67price
$80.45mean
$90

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $72.67 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.6
P/E (Fwd)16.8
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA12.0
Profit Mgn2.8%
ROE4.0%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.40
Dividend2.31%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV51%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    ASHLAND INC. | | | Date: | August 10, 2026 | By: | /s/ Robin E. Lampkin | | | Robin E. Lampkin Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary * * *
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-07-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    of this Current Report on Form 8-K (the "Form 8-K") related to the Cooperation Agreement (as defined below) is incorporated by reference herein. Item 5.02.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
3.5
Growth Rank
4.0
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $67.00Resistance $73.90

Price Targets

A.Upside-3.7%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $72.67 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $69.47. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASH stock price target?

Analyst target $70.00 reached (−3.7% from $72.67); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $69.47. Stop-loss: $69.47.

What are the risks of investing in ASH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is ASH overvalued or undervalued?

Ashland Inc. trades at a P/E of 46.6 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASH?

17 analysts cover ASH with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $80.

What does Ashland Inc. do?Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland,"...

Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland," the "Company," "we" and "our" used herein refer to Ashland Inc., a Delaware Corporation, and its predecessors, and its consolidated subsidiaries, except where the context indicates otherwise.

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