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AORTArtivion, Inc.Hold5.3·$28.08+0.36%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Artivion's medical device franchise carries analyst consensus targets implying more than 73% upside from current levels and a risk/reward ratio of roughly 10-to-1 in favor of the bull case, but the near-term picture is complicated by a recent 35% earnings miss, free cash flow that is negative relative to net income, a confirmed price downtrend, and eight disclosed supplier concentration vulnerabilities including sole manufacturers for key product families.

Thesis pillars

  • Large Consensus Implied UpsideStable
  • Above Peer Growth ProfileStable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Artivion, Inc. (AORT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Endospan (NEXUS family); Concentration risk — Supplier: AMDS sole manufacturer.

Artivion manufactures medical devices and processes implantable human tissues for cardiac and vascular surgery, with segments spanning Medical Devices (aortic stent grafts, On-X valves, BioGlue sealant) and Preservation Services. Products are sold globally across North America,... Read more

$28.08+30.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#39 of 60 Medical Devices
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.96%
Stop $26.11Target $36.67(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$42.15+50.1%8 analysts
$36.67our TP
$28.08price
$42.15mean
$48

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Endospan (NEXUS family); Concentration risk — Supplier: AMDS sole manufacturer. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-22
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202676d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Analyst upside: 31%
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Endospan (NEXUS family)
Concentration risk — Supplier: AMDS sole manufacturer
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)35.8
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA26.6
Profit Mgn-0.7%
ROE-0.7%
Rev Growth11.3%
Beta1.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV54%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierEndospan (NEXUS family)
    10-K Item 1A: 'the NEXUS family of products are solely manufactured by Endospan in Herzliya, Israel'
  • HIGHSupplierAMDS sole manufacturer
    10-K Item 1A: 'The AMDS product is solely manufactured by a supplier in Charlotte, North Carolina'
  • HIGHSupplierBioGlue single-supplier delivery devices
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are significantly dependent on our revenues from BioGlue ... The delivery devices are manufactured by a single supplier, using resin supplied by a different single supplier'
  • HIGHSupplierOn-X AAP single-supplier grafts
    10-K Item 1A: 'We purchase grafts for our On-X AAP from a single supplier'
  • MEDIUMProductBioGlue
    10-K Item 1A: 'BioGlue is a significant source of our revenues'
  • MEDIUMProductOn-X products
    10-K Item 1A: 'On-X products are a significant source of our revenues'
  • MEDIUMProductaortic stent grafts
    10-K Item 1A: 'Aortic stent grafts are a significant source of our revenues'
  • MEDIUMProducttissue preservation services
    10-K Item 1A: 'Tissue preservation services are a significant source of our revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.0
Macd
2.8
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.6
Bollinger
3.8
Support Resistance
4.5
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $25.56Resistance $30.14

Price Targets

$26
$37
A.Upside+30.6%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AORT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Endospan (NEXUS family); Concentration risk — Supplier: AMDS sole manufacturer. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $36.67 (+30.6%), stop $26.11 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AORT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.67 (+30.6% upside). Target $36.67 (+30.6%), stop $26.11 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Stop-loss: $26.11.

What are the risks of investing in AORT?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Endospan (NEXUS family); Concentration risk — Supplier: AMDS sole manufacturer; Negative momentum.

Is AORT overvalued or undervalued?

Artivion, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 35.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AORT?

14 analysts cover AORT with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Artivion, Inc. do?Artivion manufactures medical devices and processes implantable human tissues for cardiac and vascular surgery, with...

Artivion manufactures medical devices and processes implantable human tissues for cardiac and vascular surgery, with segments spanning Medical Devices (aortic stent grafts, On-X valves, BioGlue sealant) and Preservation Services. Products are sold globally across North America, EMEA, APAC, and LATAM from facilities in Georgia, Texas, and Germany. BioGlue, On-X products, aortic stent grafts, and tissue preservation services are each individually characterized as significant revenue sources.

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