Revenue has grown approximately 153% year-over-year—among the highest growth rates in the sector—but the business is cash-burning at approximately 39% of revenue, lacks a competitive moat, broke a three-quarter earnings beat streak with a significant miss, and carries weak price momentum; the growth optionality is real but currently outweighed by fundamental fragility and quality well below the 4.0 minimum threshold.
Thesis pillars
- Recent Earnings Miss Breaks Streak↓Deteriorating
- Severe Quality Deficit Cash Burn→Stable
- Exceptional Revenue Growth Trajectory→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 6, 2026
Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.14: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 7.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density and fast charging capabilities over a wide range of operating temperatures. This results in our batteries providing superior performance compared to conventional... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.14: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 7.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — Amprius Technologies, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Amprius Technologies Announces Date for Third Quarter 2026 Results and Business Updates — fiscal.ai Oct 21, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Canaccord Genuity Initiates Coverage On Amprius Technologies with Buy Rating, Announces Price Target of $14 — benzinga Oct 14, 2026 positive
- NEWS Amprius Technologies Files Shelf Prospectus For Offering; Size Not Disclosed — benzinga Oct 9, 2026 neutral
- NEWS CAMINUS Announces Contract Manufacturing Agreement With Amprius Technologies — benzinga Oct 5, 2026 positive
- NEWS HC Wainwright & Co. Reiterates Buy on Amprius Technologies, Maintains $18 Price Target — benzinga Sep 29, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-10-30T11:27:55Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Unprofitable operations — net margin -33.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.14: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 7.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Prior stop was $8.50. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $19.23 (+110.4% upside). Prior stop was $8.50. Stop-loss: $8.50.
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).
Amprius Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 91.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts cover AMPX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $22.
What does Amprius Technologies, Inc. do?Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density...
Our disruptive silicon anode technology is intended to enable batteries with high energy density, high power density and fast charging capabilities over a wide range of operating temperatures. This results in our batteries providing superior performance compared to conventional graphite lithium-ion batteries. Our silicon anodes are a direct drop-in replacement of the graphite anode in traditional lithium-ion batteries, and our manufacturing processes leverage the manufacturing processes