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AMALAmalgamated Financial Corp.Hold6.0·$51.13
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Amalgamated Financial trades at a forward multiple of about 9.7 times earnings — attractive for a bank with solid fundamentals and three beats over the four most recently reported quarters — but the stock has reached its near-term resistance target with minimal remaining upside, and declining revenue reduces the likelihood of a meaningful valuation re-rating at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Weak Revenue Growth↑Improving
  • Earnings Beat Track Record↑Improving
  • Attractive Forward Valuation→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

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Amalgamated Financial Corp. (AMAL) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 82% exposure to New York, California, and Washington, D.C. (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: New York, California, and Washington, D.C. (82.4%).

Amalgamated Financial Corp. is the Delaware holding company for Amalgamated Bank, a New York state-chartered commercial bank founded in 1923 by a labor union and marketed as 'America's socially responsible bank' to unions, nonprofits, foundations, and values-aligned businesses.... Read more

$51.13-6.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#96 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield1.33%(5y avg 1.64%)Payout16.53%sustainable
Stop $48.63Analyst target $47.60(reached)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst consensus$56.00+9.5%3 analysts
$51.13price
$56.00mean
$60

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 82% exposure to New York, California, and Washington, D.C. (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: New York, California, and Washington, D.C. (82.4%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and finsvc regional cliff hard block. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Amalgamated Financial Corp.

About Amalgamated Financial Corp.

Amalgamated Bank concentrates its lending and deposit-gathering in three metropolitan markets — New York City, Washington, D.C., and San Francisco, plus a Boston commercial office — with 82.4% of the properties securing its commercial real estate, multifamily, and construction loans located in New York, California, and Washington, D.C. as of December 31, 2025. The bank markets itself as 'America's socially responsible bank,' built on a century-old relationship with labor unions, nonprofits, and values-aligned businesses, and Workers United (successor to founding union Amalgamated Clothing Workers of America) still holds approximately 38% of the company's equity.

Amalgamated earns net interest income from commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, multifamily, and consumer loans (predominantly residential solar) funded by relationship deposits from values-based commercial clients, consumer customers, and 'political deposits' from campaigns and party committees that swing seasonally with election cycles, plus fee income from trust, custody, and investment management services where Invesco serves as principal sub-adviser. The loan book is real-estate-heavy: multifamily loans make up 33.2% of the total portfolio and commercial real estate mortgages another 7.3%, and within the New York State multifamily book specifically, $821.5 million of the $1.01 billion outstanding — 81% — is secured by rent-stabilized or rent-controlled apartments subject to New York's 2019 Housing Stability and Tenant Protection Act, which curtails landlords' ability to raise rents or exit rent regulation.

Show full overview

Amalgamated's deposit base carries a funding-stability wrinkle uncommon among regional banks: political deposits from campaigns, PACs, and party committees exhibit pronounced seasonality tied to election cycles, meaning deposit levels can swing with the calendar rather than purely with economic conditions — a stated risk factor rather than an incidental detail. That seasonality compounds the bank's geographic concentration risk: because the 'vast majority' of operations and clients sit in New York City, Washington, D.C., and San Francisco, a downturn or acute local disruption (the filing specifically flags terrorism risk in these markets) would hit both the deposit funding side and the loan book at the same time, rather than being diversified away by a national branch footprint.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Amalgamated Financial Corp.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 21, 202783d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Single-region cliff: 82% exposure to New York, California, and Washington, D.C. (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.
Concentration risk — Geographic: New York, California, and Washington, D.C. (82.4%)
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: rent stabilized/controlled NYC multifamily loans (81.0%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.7
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn35.0%
ROE15.3%
Rev Growth22.1%
Beta0.81
Dividend1.33%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV47%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicNew York, California, and Washington, D.C.82%
    10-K Item 1A: 'at December 31, 2025, 82.4% of the properties securing our CRE, multifamily, or construction loans outstanding were located in the states of New York and California, and in Washington, D.C.'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliomultifamily loans33%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The majority of our loan portfolio is secured by real estate, 33.2% of which is multifamily and 7.3% of which is commercial real estate.'
  • HIGHloan_portfoliorent stabilized/controlled NYC multifamily loans81%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, our total multifamily loan exposure in New York State is approximately $1.01 billion, of which approximately $821.5 million, or 81%, represents our portfolio’s composition of rent stabilized and rent controlled apartments in the New York City multifamily market.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.6
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
9.7
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEINSIDER 5.44%=EXTREMEFINSVC REGIONAL CLIFF HARD BLOCKMomentum 7.3>=5.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
77 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.16Resistance $51.87

Price Targets

A.Upside-6.9%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Insider activity: 5.44%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-21 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMAL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 82% exposure to New York, California, and Washington, D.C. (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: New York, California, and Washington, D.C. (82.4%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $47.60 reached (−6.9%), stop $48.63 (−5.1%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMAL stock price target?

Analyst target $47.60 reached (−6.9% from $51.13); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $47.60 reached (−6.9%), stop $48.63 (−5.1%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $48.63.

What are the risks of investing in AMAL?

Single-region cliff: 82% exposure to New York, California, and Washington, D.C. (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: New York, California, and Washington, D.C. (82.4%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: rent stabilized/controlled NYC multifamily loans (81.0%).

Is AMAL overvalued or undervalued?

Amalgamated Financial Corp. trades at a P/E of 13.7 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AMAL?

9 analysts cover AMAL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $56.

What does Amalgamated Financial Corp. do?Amalgamated Financial Corp. is the Delaware holding company for Amalgamated Bank, a New York state-chartered commercial...

Amalgamated Financial Corp. is the Delaware holding company for Amalgamated Bank, a New York state-chartered commercial bank founded in 1923 by a labor union and marketed as 'America's socially responsible bank' to unions, nonprofits, foundations, and values-aligned businesses. The bank operates in New York City, Washington, D.C., San Francisco, and Boston, offering commercial and consumer banking, lending, and trust/custody/investment management, with Workers United still holding approximately 38% of company equity as of December 31, 2025.

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