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ALMAlmonty Industries Inc.Sell5.4·$16.10-2.13%
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Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.10: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping of tungsten concentrates. The company explores for tin and tungsten deposits. It holds 100% interests in the Canada, Korea, Portugal, Spain, and the United States projects and mines. The company is headquartered... Read more

$16.10+29.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#9 of 21 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-1.28%
Stop $14.85Target $20.70(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$23.80+47.8%7 analysts
$20.70our TP
$16.10price
$23.80mean
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.10: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, May 14, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA-196.4
Profit Mgn-265.1%
ROE-70.7%
Rev Growth221.2%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV108%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
9.2
Industry growth leader

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
2.3
Operating Margin
3.5
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
8.3
Cash-burning: FCF -119% of revenueNo competitive moat

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume
6.6
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.70Resistance $22.30

Price Targets

$15
$21
A.Upside+28.6%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-14 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.10: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.85. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.70 (+29.6% upside). Prior stop was $14.85. Stop-loss: $14.85.

What are the risks of investing in ALM?

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is ALM overvalued or undervalued?

Almonty Industries Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALM?

11 analysts cover ALM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Almonty Industries Inc. do?Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping of tungsten concentrates. The company explores for...

Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping of tungsten concentrates. The company explores for tin and tungsten deposits. It holds 100% interests in the Canada, Korea, Portugal, Spain, and the United States projects and mines. The company is headquartered in Dillon, Montana.

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