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Apple Inc. (AAPL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Consumer Electronics

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $280.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away).

The Company designs, manufactures and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related services. The Company's fiscal year is the 52- or 53-week period that ends on the last Saturday of September.

$280.85+0.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 4 Consumer Electronics
Stop $267.22Target $281.48(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$298.46+6.3%42 analysts
$281.48our TP
$280.85price
$298.46mean
$215
$350

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $280.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost earnings 0.80, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.7% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.3
P/E (Fwd)28.9
Mkt Cap$3.98T
EV/EBITDA25.0
Profit Mgn27.2%
ROE141.5%
Rev Growth16.6%
Beta
Dividend0.38%
Rating analysts54

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.96neutral
IV34%normal
Max Pain$110-60.8% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On April 20, 2026, Apple Inc. ("Apple") announced that Tim Cook will transition from his role as Chief Executive Officer to Executive Chair of Apple's Board of Directors (the "Board"), effective September 1, 2026 (the "Transition Date").
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
3.8
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.1
Forward Pe
4.2
Ps
4.3
Forward P/E: 28.9xPEG: 2.43
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.80NEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $245.70Resistance $287.22

Price Targets

$267
$281
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AAPL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $280.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $281.48 (+0.2%), stop $267.22 (−5.1%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AAPL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $281.48 (+0.3% upside). Target $281.48 (+0.2%), stop $267.22 (−5.1%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $267.22.

What are the risks of investing in AAPL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away); Expensive valuation.

Is AAPL overvalued or undervalued?

Apple Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.3 (forward 28.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AAPL?

54 analysts cover AAPL with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $298.

What does Apple Inc. do?The Company designs, manufactures and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and...

The Company designs, manufactures and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related services. The Company's fiscal year is the 52- or 53-week period that ends on the last Saturday of September.

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