Value
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 0.0 |
| P/S | 8.5 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 4.5 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 27.7x
- ▸PEG: 0.10
VYLR · Why this verdict
Why Vylor (VYLR) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score4.9/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
TrendMatrix Research · core thesis
Engine thesis — one sentence
Vylor has no usable price this run, so there is no trade setup; the fundamentals show strong cash conversion and a low PEG but declining revenue.
Falsifiable statement — pillar-level invalidators below. Engine-derived; not personalized advice.
Thesis pillars
| Pillar | Expectation | Trend |
|---|---|---|
No price was returned by the upstream data sources this run, so entry, target and stop cannot be computed and the missing price is a temporary data failure. Warnings | A valid price should return within the next few nightly runs so a trade setup can be computed. | ↓Deteriorating |
| CounterThe company is classified as a shell company and the missing quote could reflect a symbol or listing change rather than a transient outage. | ||
Cash conversion is excellent at 240% of net income and the Piotroski score is 8 out of 9. Quality breakdown | Free cash flow should stay above net income over the next 12 months. | →Stable |
| CounterThe engine finds no competitive moat, and return on equity scores only 1.4 out of 10. | ||
The PEG ratio is 0.10 even though forward P/E is 27.3x, so the valuation depends on earnings growth continuing. Valuation breakdown | Earnings growth should stay high enough to keep the PEG below 1.0. | ↓Deteriorating |
| CounterA forward P/E of 27.3x is demanding when revenue is declining, so the PEG may rest on a one-off earnings jump. | ||
Revenue is declining at 1%, which holds the growth score to 6.1 despite strong earnings growth. Growth breakdown | Revenue should return to growth over the next 12 months for earnings gains to be sustainable. | ↓Deteriorating |
| CounterThe decline is only 1%, and earnings growth already scores 10 out of 10. | ||
The put/call ratio is 0.394, a bullish skew, with implied volatility near 42%. Options | Options positioning should stay call-heavy as long as sentiment holds. | ↑Improving |
| CounterWithout a price, the options data cannot be cross-checked, and open interest totals are reported as zero. | ||
No price was returned by the upstream data sources this run, so entry, target and stop cannot be computed and the missing price is a temporary data failure.
↓DeterioratingWarnings
- Expectation
- A valid price should return within the next few nightly runs so a trade setup can be computed.
CounterThe company is classified as a shell company and the missing quote could reflect a symbol or listing change rather than a transient outage.
Cash conversion is excellent at 240% of net income and the Piotroski score is 8 out of 9.
→StableQuality breakdown
- Expectation
- Free cash flow should stay above net income over the next 12 months.
CounterThe engine finds no competitive moat, and return on equity scores only 1.4 out of 10.
The PEG ratio is 0.10 even though forward P/E is 27.3x, so the valuation depends on earnings growth continuing.
↓DeterioratingValuation breakdown
- Expectation
- Earnings growth should stay high enough to keep the PEG below 1.0.
CounterA forward P/E of 27.3x is demanding when revenue is declining, so the PEG may rest on a one-off earnings jump.
Revenue is declining at 1%, which holds the growth score to 6.1 despite strong earnings growth.
↓DeterioratingGrowth breakdown
- Expectation
- Revenue should return to growth over the next 12 months for earnings gains to be sustainable.
CounterThe decline is only 1%, and earnings growth already scores 10 out of 10.
The put/call ratio is 0.394, a bullish skew, with implied volatility near 42%.
↑ImprovingOptions
- Expectation
- Options positioning should stay call-heavy as long as sentiment holds.
CounterWithout a price, the options data cannot be cross-checked, and open interest totals are reported as zero.
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.4 |
| ROA | 3.0 |
| Gross margin | 5.9 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 2.8 |
| Current ratio | 5.5 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 5.4 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 240% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
1.1/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.2 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -1%
Momentum
2.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 1.2 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 3.5 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
Sentiment
7.1/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.2 |
| Price target | 7.0 |
Insider
7.3/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 10.0 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
- ▸Institutions accumulating
Peer rank
4.4/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.5 |
| quality rank | 5.0 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
Technical
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 5.6 |
| support resistance | 4.1 |
| 52w position | 8.7 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| days to cover | 9.1 |
| volatility | 2.4 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 6.2 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 9.5 |
| debt equity | 9.2 |
- ▸Above max pain $50
Catalyst
6.3/10data confidence 25%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| dividend safety | 6.3 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:NO_DATE
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.0<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-0.1=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-0.06
Upside
-0.6%
Downside
10.1%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRange Bound — RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNo clear edge — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityModerate — Balanced profile
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Insider at 7.3; weakest: Growth at 1.1. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Insider at 7.3, Sentiment at 7.1, and Risk (lower is worse) at 7.1; the weakest are Growth at 1.1, Momentum at 2.0, and Peer rank at 4.4. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.06 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.
What would invalidate the thesis
Falsifying conditions — when triggered, the corresponding pillar's thesis is invalidated.
- P1Missing Price Data Gap
Trip ifPrice remains unavailable for more than 5 consecutive nightly runs.
- P2Strong Cash Conversion
Trip ifFree cash flow falls below 100% of net income from the current 240%.
- P3Low Peg Valuation
Trip ifForward P/E exceeds 35x from the current 27.3x.
- P4Revenue Decline Persists
Trip ifRevenue growth falls below -5% year over year from the current -1%.
- P5Bullish Options Positioning
Trip ifPut/call ratio rises above 1.0 from the current 0.394.