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VTOLBristow Group, Inc.Sell6.2·$44.24-7.33%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Bristow Group is an offshore helicopter services company with attractive valuation at a forward P/E of 8.2x and PEG of 0.22, generating 22% analyst upside to $52.70 with a favorable asymmetry ratio of 3.88, but recent negative news flow has downgraded the recommendation by one notch and two consecutive earnings misses highlight execution uncertainty.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Forward PeStable
  • Analyst Upside Favorable AsymmetryStable
  • Earnings Beat Miss VolatilityImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bristow Group, Inc. (VTOL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $44.24: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (63.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. operations revenue (83.0%).

Bristow Group provides helicopter aviation services — offshore personnel transport, search-and-rescue, and medevac — to energy companies and government agencies across 15 countries, plus fixed-wing charter through Australia's Airnorth. In 2025, Offshore Energy Services generated... Read more

$44.24+19.1% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#9 of 36 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.43%
IncomeYield1.10%Payout3.26%sustainable
Stop $41.14Target $52.70(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$62.00+40.1%3 analysts
$52.70our TP
$44.24price
$62.00mean
$70

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $44.24: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (63.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. operations revenue (83.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Bristow Group, Inc.

About Bristow Group, Inc.

Bristow Group generated 66% of its 2025 revenue from Offshore Energy Services, 26% from Government Services, and 8% from Other Services, operating a fleet of 214 aircraft — including 87 heavy and 69 medium helicopters — across 15 countries. Non-U.S. operations accounted for 83% of consolidated revenue, and the company's top ten customers represented approximately 63% of total revenue in 2025.

Bristow earns revenue through master service and subscription agreements with offshore energy operators — generally a fixed monthly fee plus per-flight-hour charges, running from one month to 10 years — alongside long-duration government search-and-rescue contracts such as the UK's 10-year UKSAR2G award and Ireland's 10-year Irish Coast Guard contract, both of which the company describes as offering stable, high-credit-quality cash flows relative to offshore energy work. The Offshore Energy segment leans on production-support flying, which the 10-K characterizes as less cyclical than drilling-related work, while Other Services adds diversification through Airnorth, a regional Australian fixed-wing carrier, and dry-lease arrangements with third-party helicopter operators. Approximately 60% of Bristow's employees were covered by union or collective bargaining agreements as of December 31, 2025, several of which are up for renegotiation in 2026.

Show full overview

A distinct exposure sits in Bristow's Nigeria operations, which the 10-K flags separately from its broader 83% non-U.S. revenue base: Nigeria contributed 13% of consolidated revenue in 2025, and the filing cites recent political and social unrest there alongside local-content rules that can penalize Bristow's customers for failing to use sufficiently Nigerian-sourced service providers. That geographic exposure compounds a fleet-level dependency — the S92 heavy helicopter, roughly 29% of Bristow's total fleet, has experienced parts delivery delays serious enough to ground multiple aircraft and force purchases from alternative sources.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

From Bristow Group, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (63.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. operations revenue (83.0%)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.9
P/E (Fwd)9.1
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA8.9
Profit Mgn7.5%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth10.9%
Beta1.20
Dividend1.10%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV70%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop ten customers63%
    10-K Item 1: 'our top ten customers accounted for approximately 63% of revenues'
  • MEDIUMCustomerthree largest customers36%
    10-K Item 1: 'the combined revenues from our three largest customers accounted for 36% of our revenues'
  • HIGHGeographicnon-U.S. operations revenue83%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our non-U.S. operations accounted for approximately 83% and 83% of our consolidated revenues in the year ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
  • LOWGeographicNigeria13%
    10-K Item 1A: 'political and social unrest in Nigeria, where we derived 13% and 12% of our revenues during the year ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-03Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved Amendment No. 4 to the Bristow Group Inc. 2021 Equity Incentive Plan at the June 3, 2026 Annual Meeting; the amendment had already been approved by the Board. No director or officer departure or appointment disclosed.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief Operating Officer, Government Services, Alan Corbett announced his planned retirement effective end of 2026. The company has begun a successor search, and Corbett will continue in his role to provide an orderly transition; retirement date and successor to be confirmed later.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.8>=5.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $41.64Resistance $47.91

Price Targets

$41
$53
A.Upside+19.1%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VTOL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $44.24: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (63.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. operations revenue (83.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $41.14. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VTOL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.70 (+19.1% upside). Prior stop was $41.14. Stop-loss: $41.14.

What are the risks of investing in VTOL?

Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (63.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. operations revenue (83.0%); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is VTOL overvalued or undervalued?

Bristow Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.9 (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VTOL?

10 analysts cover VTOL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $62.

What does Bristow Group, Inc. do?Bristow Group provides helicopter aviation services — offshore personnel transport, search-and-rescue, and medevac — to...

Bristow Group provides helicopter aviation services — offshore personnel transport, search-and-rescue, and medevac — to energy companies and government agencies across 15 countries, plus fixed-wing charter through Australia's Airnorth. In 2025, Offshore Energy Services generated 66% of revenue, Government Services 26%, and Other Services 8%, with non-U.S. operations at 83% of revenue and the top ten customers representing about 63%.

Related stocks: FLOC (Flowco Holdings Inc.) · NGS (Natural Gas Services Group, Inc) · WHD (Cactus, Inc. Class A Common Sto) · NESR (National Energy Services Reunit) · USAC (USA Compression Partners, LP)
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