Value
4.4/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 3.0 |
| p ocf | 7.0 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸P/OCF: 14.9x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
VTMX · Why this verdict
Why Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta, (VTMX) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.1 |
| ROA | 2.2 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 7.3 |
| FCF quality | 1.7 |
| Moat | 7.6 |
| Rule of 40 | 5.5 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 22% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
6.1/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 6.1 |
Momentum
2.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 2.7 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 0.7 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 6.1 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
3.4/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $9,043,024 (0.291% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.3/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.5 |
| quality rank | 8.8 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.5 |
| support resistance | 4.5 |
| 52w position | 8.4 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| days to cover | 7.5 |
| volatility | 5.3 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 8.4 |
Catalyst
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
- ▸Dividend: 245.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:45d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.8<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-1.0=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-1.01
Upside
-6.7%
Downside
6.6%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $3.1B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.0 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Risk (lower is worse) at 7.8) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:2.8<4.5, ASYMMETRY:-1.0=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -1.01 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Risk (lower is worse) at 7.8, Technical at 6.5, and Quality at 6.4; the weakest are Momentum at 2.8, Insider at 3.4, and Value at 4.4. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.01 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.