Value
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.8 |
| P/S | 3.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.2 |
| PEG | 4.8 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 20.8x
- ▸PEG: 1.68
VRTX · Why this verdict
Why Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorpor (VRTX) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
8.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 8.1 |
| ROA | 8.1 |
| Gross margin | 6.9 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 10.0 |
| FCF quality | 4.9 |
| Moat | 8.4 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong margins: 36%
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 64% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
Growth
7.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.4 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
7.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 8.0 |
| Volume | 4.3 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
Sentiment
8.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 9.0 |
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 8.0 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.80 (n=1)
- ▸Analyst upside: 23%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $9,554,028 (0.008% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.4/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.0 |
| quality rank | 8.7 |
| growth rank | 3.7 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.4 |
| support resistance | 2.7 |
| 52w position | 7.6 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.0 |
| days to cover | 6.7 |
| volatility | 6.2 |
| put call | 6.5 |
| implied vol | 6.3 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 9.6 |
| news risk | 6.0 |
- ▸Above max pain $290
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 4.7 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_E_WIDE_MOAT|ENTRY_STICKY:WITHIN_BANDPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:7.6>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:1.8>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- DEATH_CROSS:QUALITY_MOMENTUM_EXEMPT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (2)
- DEATH_CROSS:quality=8.4>=7.5+momentum=7.6>=5.0 exempted
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
1.75
Upside
+10.5%
Downside
6.0%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupMOMENTUM_CONT — Trend continuation, RSI 57, MACD bullish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict reflects clean gate clearance against Quality at 8.4 and asymmetric R:R of 1.75.
The strongest dimensions are Quality at 8.4, Sentiment at 8.1, and Momentum at 7.6; the weakest are Technical at 4.2, Peer rank at 4.4, and Value at 4.6. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.75 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.