Value
6.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 6.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.2 |
| PEG | 3.7 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 20.9x
- ▸PEG: 2.94
TTWO · Why this verdict
Why Take-Two Interactive Software, (TTWO) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 7.5 |
| Op margin | 0.9 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 4.7 |
| FCF quality | 6.0 |
| Moat | 5.1 |
| Piotroski F | 4.4 |
- ▸FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 22%, FCF yield 3.7%)
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
4.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.0 |
Momentum
1.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.5 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
Sentiment
8.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 7.0 |
| Analyst rating | 9.0 |
| Price target | 8.6 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.40 (n=1)
- ▸Analyst upside: 31%
Insider
3.4/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $133,174,198 (0.341% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.0 |
| quality rank | 2.0 |
| growth rank | 2.0 |
Technical
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.5 |
| support resistance | 8.2 |
| 52w position | 6.1 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.7 |
| days to cover | 7.7 |
| volatility | 2.4 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 4.8 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 7.1 |
| debt equity | 5.9 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 2.34
- ▸Above max pain $165
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:2.2>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:60d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:1.1<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
2.19
Upside
+17.8%
Downside
8.1%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Sentiment at 8.2 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:1.1<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 8.2, Technical at 6.9, and Catalyst at 6.3; the weakest are Momentum at 1.1, Peer rank at 2.8, and Quality at 3.2. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.19 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.