Trex Company (TREX) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $0.62
- Estimate
- $0.63
- Surprise
- -2.1%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $418.0M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.5 → 5.3/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Trex Company (TREX) missed the $0.63 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.62 — a modest 2.1% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (5.5/10) to Sell at 5.3/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates TREX Sell at 5.4/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -2.1% surprise compares with a +96.5% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-04.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers (73.0%)
- Concentration risk — Product: wood/polyethylene composite material
- Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $43.66
- Price target
- $49.20
- Stop
- $41.45
- Upside to target
- +12.7%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.8:1
The stock trades at 26.4× trailing but 22.3× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-14 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
TREX at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Building Products & Equipment
- Market cap
- $4.58B
- P/E (fwd)
- 22.3
- P/E (ttm)
- 26.4
- 52-week range
- $29.77–$61.07
- Off 52-week high
- 28.5%
- RSI (14)
- 34
- Volume vs avg
- 1.07×
- Score today
- 5.4/10