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TPBTurning Point Brands, Inc.Hold5.4·$68.44

Turning Point Brands (TPB) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

IN LINE-3.4% vs estimateEPS $0.23 vs $0.24 estVerdict Buy (Wait) → Hold

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$0.23
Estimate
$0.24
Surprise
-3.4%
Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
$143.0M
Score at report (before → after)
5.3 → 5.2/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Turning Point Brands (TPB) reported adjusted EPS of $0.23, in line with the $0.24 estimate. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.3/10) to Hold at 5.2/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-10-29

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates TPB Hold at 5.4/10.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -3.4% surprise compares with a +9.7% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-09.

What supports the rating

  • Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
  • Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)

What argues against it

  • V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
  • Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.2%), Negative free cash flow

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$68.44
Price target
$103.09
Stop
$63.65
Upside to target
+50.6%
Reward-to-risk
3.4:1

At 28.9× trailing and 29.9× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.

Risk check: RSI 73 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Defensive context

TPB at TrendMatrix's latest read

Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.

Industry
Tobacco
Market cap
$1.30B
P/E (fwd)
29.9
P/E (ttm)
28.9
52-week range
$54.17–$146.90
Off 52-week high
53.4%
RSI (14)
73
Volume vs avg
0.01×
Score today
5.4/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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