Travel Leisure (TNL) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $2.21
- Estimate
- $2.06
- Surprise
- +7.5%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $1.10B
- Score today
- 5.5/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Travel Leisure (TNL) beat the $2.06 estimate with adjusted EPS of $2.21 — a clear 7.5% upside surprise.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates TNL Sell at 5.5/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +7.5% surprise compares with a +4.6% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-02-17.
What supports the rating
- V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%)
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
- Weak growth
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $68.38
- Price target
- $75.89
- Stop
- $64.60
- Upside to target
- +11.0%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.0:1
The stock trades at 18.4× trailing but 7.8× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 71 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum; trading volume is running 1.6× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
TNL at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Travel Services
- Market cap
- $4.12B
- P/E (fwd)
- 7.8
- P/E (ttm)
- 18.4
- 52-week range
- $60.34–$81.00
- Off 52-week high
- 15.6%
- RSI (14)
- 71
- Volume vs avg
- 1.65×
- Score today
- 5.5/10