Value
9.6/10data confidence 20%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 9.6 |
- ▸Attractively valued
TMS · Why this verdict
Why Teamshares (TMS) is rated SELL
Updated
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Thesis pillars
| Pillar | Expectation | Trend |
|---|---|---|
The stock screens as attractively valued on a price-to-sales basis, with an implied 80% analyst upside to price targets. Sentiment breakdown | The share price should close a meaningful portion of the gap toward analyst price targets, narrowing the 80% implied upside over 12 months. | →Stable |
| CounterLight analyst coverage dampens the reliability of this signal, and the price target itself may be stale or based on limited estimates. | ||
The business quality score of 2.6 sits below the engine's 4.0 minimum floor, driven by weak margins and quality concerns flagged in the scoring notes. Quality breakdown | The quality score should climb back above the 4.0 floor over the next 12 months if margin and profitability metrics genuinely improve. | →Stable |
| CounterA single-period quality dip in a small-cap financial conglomerate could reflect one-off items rather than a durable deterioration in the business. | ||
The stock fails the engine's momentum gate at 1.3, far below the 4.5 threshold required to support a constructive technical setup. Engine gate (failed) | The momentum score should rise back above the 4.5 gate threshold over the next 12 months if price trend and volume improve. | →Stable |
| CounterMomentum gates can flip quickly on small caps; a single soft reading doesn't guarantee sustained weakness. | ||
The stock is down 43% from its 52-week high, placing it in speculative territory per the engine's suitability classification. Suitability rationale | The drawdown from the 52-week high should narrow to less than 40% over the next 12 months if the stock stabilizes and recovers. | →Stable |
| CounterA deep drawdown of this size can also signal a structurally impaired business rather than a temporary dislocation worth buying. | ||
The stock screens as attractively valued on a price-to-sales basis, with an implied 80% analyst upside to price targets.
→StableSentiment breakdown
- Expectation
- The share price should close a meaningful portion of the gap toward analyst price targets, narrowing the 80% implied upside over 12 months.
CounterLight analyst coverage dampens the reliability of this signal, and the price target itself may be stale or based on limited estimates.
The business quality score of 2.6 sits below the engine's 4.0 minimum floor, driven by weak margins and quality concerns flagged in the scoring notes.
→StableQuality breakdown
- Expectation
- The quality score should climb back above the 4.0 floor over the next 12 months if margin and profitability metrics genuinely improve.
CounterA single-period quality dip in a small-cap financial conglomerate could reflect one-off items rather than a durable deterioration in the business.
The stock fails the engine's momentum gate at 1.3, far below the 4.5 threshold required to support a constructive technical setup.
→StableEngine gate (failed)
- Expectation
- The momentum score should rise back above the 4.5 gate threshold over the next 12 months if price trend and volume improve.
CounterMomentum gates can flip quickly on small caps; a single soft reading doesn't guarantee sustained weakness.
The stock is down 43% from its 52-week high, placing it in speculative territory per the engine's suitability classification.
→StableSuitability rationale
- Expectation
- The drawdown from the 52-week high should narrow to less than 40% over the next 12 months if the stock stabilizes and recovers.
CounterA deep drawdown of this size can also signal a structurally impaired business rather than a temporary dislocation worth buying.
TrendMatrix Research · core thesis
Engine thesis — one sentence
Teamshares screens as attractively valued with modest revenue growth, but weak business quality and a failed momentum gate signal a deteriorating technical picture that argues against adding to the position.
Falsifiable statement — pillar-level invalidators below. Engine-derived; not personalized advice.
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
2.6/10data confidence 86%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 3.8 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 1.7 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Piotroski F | 4.4 |
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
7.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 7.0 |
Momentum
1.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.5 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
Sentiment
7.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.9 |
| Price target | 9.9 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (1.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 76%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
1.7/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.3 |
| quality rank | 0.0 |
| growth rank | 3.3 |
Technical
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.3 |
| support resistance | 8.9 |
| 52w position | 1.6 |
| gap | 7.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
0.0/10data confidence 40%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| volatility | 0.0 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
Catalyst
5.0/10data confidence 50%How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- ASYMMETRY:3.3>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:NO_DATE
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:1.2<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
- 8K_FLAG:5.01
Reward-to-Risk
3.33
Upside
+50.0%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFalling Knife — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 40, MACD bearish
EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($0.5B) below institutional reach
SuitabilitySpeculative — Drawdown -42% (>40% off 52w high)
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 9.6 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:1.2<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.6, Sentiment at 7.7, and Growth at 7.0; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 0.0, Momentum at 1.2, and Peer rank at 1.7. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.33 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.
What would invalidate the thesis
Falsifying conditions — when triggered, the corresponding pillar's thesis is invalidated.
- P1Quality Below Engine Floor
Trip ifQuality score rises above 4.0 from the current 2.6, clearing the engine's minimum floor for 2 consecutive quarters.
- P2Failed Momentum Gate
Trip ifMomentum score rises above 4.5 from the current 1.3, clearing the engine's gate threshold.
- P3Attractive Relative Valuation
Trip ifAnalyst upside estimate compresses below 20% from the current 80%, signaling the valuation gap has closed or targets have been cut.
- P4Deep Drawdown Speculative Setup
Trip ifDrawdown from the 52-week high exceeds 50%, deepening past the current -43% level.