Value
6.3/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 8.5 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.8 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 12.7x
- ▸PEG: 0.00
TFX · Why this verdict
Why Teleflex (TFX) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
TrendMatrix Research · core thesis
Engine thesis — one sentence
Teleflex is a medical-device company with 29% growth, rising earnings estimates and strong momentum, but at $136.29 the price is already 1.7% above the $133.98 analyst target and quality is only 4.5/10 with 15% short interest.
Falsifiable statement — pillar-level invalidators below. Engine-derived; not personalized advice.
Thesis pillars
| Pillar | Expectation | Trend |
|---|---|---|
Quality is mixed, with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 but only moderate margins (FCF margin 8%, FCF yield 3.1%) and a debt-to-equity of 1.0. Quality breakdown | FCF margin should rise above 10% and Piotroski should hold at 7 or higher over 12 months. | →Stable |
| CounterLeverage and moderate cash margins limit flexibility, and quality scores 4.5 overall. | ||
The company is growing 29% YoY and ranks as an industry growth leader, with the growth score at 9.8/10. Growth breakdown | Growth should stay above 15% YoY, with quarterly revenue holding near the $565M estimate. | →Stable |
| CounterReported quarterly revenue is flat around $550-570M, and the data flags large divergences between filing and provider revenue, so the growth figure may be unreliable. | ||
EPS beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, including 1.76 vs 1.28 in August 2026, and earnings estimates are trending up. Earnings | EPS should continue to meet or beat consensus, including the report due 2026-11-05. | →Stable |
| CounterThe February 2026 quarter missed badly (1.93 vs 3.75), so one quarter can erase the streak. | ||
The $136.29 price is 1.7% above the $133.98 analyst target, so analysts see no upside and downside to the stop is 10.4%. Bear case | The analyst target should rise above $136.29 as estimates move up, or price should consolidate over the next two quarters. | →Stable |
| CounterEstimates are rising and targets tend to follow, so the gap may close from the target side rather than the price side. | ||
Momentum is strong at 6.9/10, with RSI 76 (overbought), rising on-balance volume and price above the 200-day average, while the put/call ratio is 1.70 and short interest is 15%. Momentum breakdown | Momentum score should hold above 5.5 while RSI cools from 76 without a break below the 200-day average. | ↑Improving |
| CounterAn overbought RSI of 76 often precedes a pullback, and elevated put volume with 15% short interest suggests informed bearish positioning. | ||
Quality is mixed, with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 but only moderate margins (FCF margin 8%, FCF yield 3.1%) and a debt-to-equity of 1.0.
→StableQuality breakdown
- Expectation
- FCF margin should rise above 10% and Piotroski should hold at 7 or higher over 12 months.
CounterLeverage and moderate cash margins limit flexibility, and quality scores 4.5 overall.
The company is growing 29% YoY and ranks as an industry growth leader, with the growth score at 9.8/10.
→StableGrowth breakdown
- Expectation
- Growth should stay above 15% YoY, with quarterly revenue holding near the $565M estimate.
CounterReported quarterly revenue is flat around $550-570M, and the data flags large divergences between filing and provider revenue, so the growth figure may be unreliable.
EPS beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, including 1.76 vs 1.28 in August 2026, and earnings estimates are trending up.
→StableEarnings
- Expectation
- EPS should continue to meet or beat consensus, including the report due 2026-11-05.
CounterThe February 2026 quarter missed badly (1.93 vs 3.75), so one quarter can erase the streak.
The $136.29 price is 1.7% above the $133.98 analyst target, so analysts see no upside and downside to the stop is 10.4%.
→StableBear case
- Expectation
- The analyst target should rise above $136.29 as estimates move up, or price should consolidate over the next two quarters.
CounterEstimates are rising and targets tend to follow, so the gap may close from the target side rather than the price side.
Momentum is strong at 6.9/10, with RSI 76 (overbought), rising on-balance volume and price above the 200-day average, while the put/call ratio is 1.70 and short interest is 15%.
↑ImprovingMomentum breakdown
- Expectation
- Momentum score should hold above 5.5 while RSI cools from 76 without a break below the 200-day average.
CounterAn overbought RSI of 76 often precedes a pullback, and elevated put volume with 15% short interest suggests informed bearish positioning.
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 1.2 |
| Gross margin | 7.0 |
| Op margin | 4.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 8.8 |
| FCF quality | 5.1 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 8%, FCF yield 3.0%)
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
9.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 9.7 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 29% YoY
Momentum
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.9 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 2.8 |
- ▸Overbought (RSI 82)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.0 |
| Price target | 6.6 |
| erm sentiment | 6.2 |
Insider
6.4/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 9.2 |
| notable moves | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
- ▸Institutions accumulating
Peer rank
4.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.4 |
| quality rank | 1.6 |
| growth rank | 8.9 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
3.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.6 |
| support resistance | 0.7 |
| 52w position | 9.2 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 1.9 |
| days to cover | 5.6 |
| volatility | 6.0 |
| put call | 2.0 |
| implied vol | 3.6 |
| beta | 8.0 |
| debt equity | 5.0 |
- ▸High short interest justified: 16%
- ▸Elevated put/call: 1.70
Catalyst
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.5 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 4.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.8 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Earnings in 6 days
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Mixed signals. Hold existing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULTPassed (5)
- MOMENTUM:7.1>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.3=NEGATIVE
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
-0.30
Upside
-3.6%
Downside
12.2%
Sizing output
AVOID
Setup— — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNo clear edge — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityModerate — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: MOMENTUM:7.1>=5.5. Top dim: Growth at 9.8; weakest: Technical at 3.5. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 9.8, Momentum at 7.1, and Sentiment at 6.7; the weakest are Technical at 3.5, Peer rank at 4.2, and Quality at 4.5. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.30 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.
What would invalidate the thesis
Falsifying conditions — when triggered, the corresponding pillar's thesis is invalidated.
- P1Strong Growth Leader
Trip ifYoY growth falls below 10% from the current 29%.
- P2Earnings Beats Estimates Rising
Trip ifEPS misses estimates in the 2026-11-05 report and in at least 1 of the next 2 quarters.
- P3Price Above Analyst Target
Trip ifPrice stays above the analyst target by more than 5% for 2 consecutive quarters without a target increase.
- P4Moderate Quality Leverage
Trip ifPiotroski F-Score drops below 6 from the current 8, or FCF margin falls below 5% from 8%.
- P5Overbought Momentum Positioning
Trip ifPrice falls below the $129.73 stop-loss, with momentum score under 5.0 from the current 6.9.