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TEOTelecom Argentina SASell5.7·$13.14-2.98%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Telecom Argentina generates 30% revenue growth with a Rule of 40 score of 41, exceptional free cash flow at 270% of net income, and a Piotroski financial health score of 8 out of 9 at a price-to-earnings growth ratio of 0.03 — but has missed earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters and the stock has already exceeded the analyst price target.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash And Growth CombinationStable
  • Attractive Valuation At High GrowthStable
  • Consecutive Earnings Miss PatternStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Telecom Argentina SA (TEO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. At $13.14, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Telecom Argentina S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay, Chile and the United States. The company offers mobile telecommunications services, including voice communications, high-speed mobile internet content... Read more

$13.14+3.0% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#13 of 42 Telecom Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.33%(5y avg 6.78%)Payout3.39%sustainable
Stop $12.40Target $13.65(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$15.69+19.4%5 analysts
$13.65our TP
$13.14price
$15.69mean
$9
$21

Sell if holding. At $13.14, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.0%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.9
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap
EV/EBITDA2.0
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth0.4%
Beta0.33
Dividend0.33%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV115%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.78Resistance $13.99

Price Targets

$12
$14
A.Upside+3.0%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $13.14, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $12.40. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.65 (+3.0% upside). Prior stop was $12.40. Stop-loss: $12.40.

What are the risks of investing in TEO?

Thin upside margin: 3.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Is TEO overvalued or undervalued?

Telecom Argentina SA trades at a P/E of 10.9 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TEO?

6 analysts cover TEO with a consensus score of 2.0/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Telecom Argentina SA do?Telecom Argentina S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Argentina, Paraguay,...

Telecom Argentina S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay, Chile and the United States. The company offers mobile telecommunications services, including voice communications, high-speed mobile internet content and applications download, online streaming, and other services; and sells mobile communication devices, such as handsets, modems, MiFi and wingles, and smartwatches. It also offers internet connectivity products, including virtual private network services, traditional internet protocol links, and other products; and programming and other cable television services. In addition, the company provides telephone services, including local, domestic, and international long-distance telephone services, as well as public telephone services; and other related supplementary services, such as call waiting, call forwarding, conference calls, caller ID, voice mail, itemized billing, and maintenance services. Further, it offers infrastructure, interconnection, datacenter, internet, value added, and international long-distance services; and data services, including data transmission, virtual private networks, symmetric internet access, national and international signal transport, and videoconferencing services; Personal Pay, a digital wallet service. The company also offers broadcasting, cable television, financial, cybersecurity, ICT services and audiovisual communication, content platform and related services; security solutions and services; closed-circuit and community closed-circuit television, as well as investment and consulting services. The company was formerly known as Cablevisión S.A. and changed its name to Telecom Argentina S.A. in January 2018. Telecom Argentina S.A. was founded in 1979 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

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