Transdigm Group (TDG) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $10.87
- Estimate
- $10.33
- Surprise
- +5.3%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-27)
- $2.74B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.2 → 6.1/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Transdigm Group (TDG) beat the $10.33 estimate with diluted EPS of $10.87 — a clear 5.3% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.2/10) to Hold at 6.1/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates TDG Hold at 5.9/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +5.3% surprise compares with a +4.2% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-05.
What supports the rating
- V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.5 in RISK_OFF)
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Product: aftermarket (55.0%)
- Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
- Negative momentum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $1111.22
- Price target
- $1370.51
- Stop
- $1069.30
- Upside to target
- +23.3%
- Reward-to-risk
- 4.7:1
The stock trades at 34.6× trailing but 23.6× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 23 — a level conventionally read as oversold.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-14 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
TDG at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Aerospace & Defense
- Market cap
- $63.03B
- P/E (fwd)
- 23.6
- P/E (ttm)
- 34.6
- 52-week range
- $1119.62–$1463.03
- Off 52-week high
- 24.0%
- RSI (14)
- 23
- Volume vs avg
- 1.36×
- Score today
- 5.9/10