Value
8.5/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.6 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.3 |
| PEG | 4.6 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 10.1x
- ▸PEG: 1.91
- ▸Attractively valued
TCOM · Why this verdict
Why Trip.com Group (TCOM) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.8/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 7.0 |
| ROA | 2.6 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 6.6 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.6 |
| FCF quality | 0.5 |
| Moat | 9.0 |
| Rule of 40 | 3.0 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong margins: 53%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 7% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
Growth
8.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 7.7 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 21% YoY
Momentum
2.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 6.8 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 1.7 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
8.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 9.0 |
| Price target | 9.8 |
| erm sentiment | 4.7 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 63%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
7.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.3 |
| quality rank | 6.5 |
| growth rank | 8.0 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.2 |
| support resistance | 8.3 |
| 52w position | 2.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.8 |
| days to cover | 5.4 |
| volatility | 5.8 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 2.8 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| debt equity | 9.3 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 4.33
- ▸High IV: 63%
Catalyst
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Earnings in 0 days
- ▸Dividend: 57.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L3:NEWS_BLOCK|ENTRY_STICKY:WITHIN_BANDPassed (6)
- ASYMMETRY:8.7>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
- MOMENTUM:2.8<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
8.67
Upside
+46.5%
Downside
5.4%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
A recent news event triggered an L3 news-block on the verdict path. Trigger: Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. The 10-dimension scores remain Growth at 8.8 (strongest), but MOMENTUM:2.8<4.5 also fails — the news block is the proximate trigger, not the sole driver.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.8, Value at 8.5, and Sentiment at 8.1; the weakest are Momentum at 2.8, Insider at 5.0, and Risk (lower is worse) at 5.6. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 8.67 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.