Value
6.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 9.2 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.9 |
| Fwd P/E | 3.4 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 33.0x
- ▸PEG: 0.19
TAC · Why this verdict
Why TransAlta (TAC) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
2.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.9 |
| Gross margin | 2.3 |
| Op margin | 7.4 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 3.0 |
| Moat | 2.5 |
| Piotroski F | 5.6 |
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
5.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 0.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -26%
Momentum
3.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 3.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 5.5 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 6.5 |
| Analyst rating | 5.9 |
| Price target | 5.7 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (2.0) — signal dampened
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 6.7 |
| quality rank | 0.0 |
| growth rank | 0.0 |
Technical
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.2 |
| support resistance | 8.3 |
| 52w position | 4.3 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.1 |
| days to cover | 6.5 |
| volatility | 1.4 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 3.3 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 2.0 |
| news risk | 3.0 |
- ▸High IV: 60%
Catalyst
3.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 3.5 |
| news activity | 6.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.2<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-1.2=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-1.23
Upside
-10.9%
Downside
8.9%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $3.8B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 6.8 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:3.2<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 6.8, Technical at 6.6, and Sentiment at 6.0; the weakest are Quality at 2.7, Peer rank at 2.9, and Catalyst at 3.2. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.23 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.