Value
4.6/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 5.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.5 |
| p ocf | 6.1 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸P/OCF: 18.0x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
SUI · Why this verdict
Why Sun Communities (SUI) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.1 |
| ROA | 1.5 |
| Gross margin | 6.6 |
| Op margin | 5.4 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 8.5 |
| FCF quality | 3.0 |
| Moat | 6.5 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong margins: 60%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 38% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
4.6/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.6 |
Momentum
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.4 |
| Price target | 6.7 |
| erm sentiment | 6.0 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.7/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.0 |
| quality rank | 4.7 |
| growth rank | 8.1 |
- ▸Best-in-class margins
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.7 |
| support resistance | 1.8 |
| 52w position | 8.6 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.1 |
| days to cover | 6.8 |
| volatility | 7.0 |
| put call | 8.8 |
| implied vol | 2.9 |
| beta | 8.2 |
| debt equity | 7.2 |
- ▸High IV: 62%
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 MED (10-K Item 1A)
Catalyst
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.5 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 340.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
News gate: 0 critical events on HOLD stock →.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=+1|SANITY:WAIT+price>=TP|NEWS_GATE:BLOCKEDPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:6.9>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:44d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- ASYMMETRY:0.1<1.5@spot
- 8K_CRITICAL:4.01
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.10
Upside
+0.6%
Downside
5.6%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupBREAKOUT — Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:6.9>=5.5. Top dim: Risk (lower is worse) at 7.0; weakest: Technical at 4.0. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Risk (lower is worse) at 7.0, Momentum at 6.9, and Sentiment at 6.8; the weakest are Technical at 4.0, Growth at 4.6, and Value at 4.6. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.10 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.