Value
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.5 |
| P/S | 7.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 1.6 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.3 |
| PEG | 1.3 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 20.4x
- ▸PEG: 7.05
STVN · Why this verdict
Why Stevanato Group S.p.A. (STVN) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.9/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 3.2 |
| ROA | 3.5 |
| Gross margin | 1.8 |
| Op margin | 5.7 |
| Net margin | 5.9 |
| Current ratio | 5.9 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -40% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
3.3/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.1 |
| EPS growth | 2.6 |
Momentum
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 3.0 |
| Volume | 7.3 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
8.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 8.0 |
| Analyst rating | 6.9 |
| Price target | 9.3 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.60 (n=1)
- ▸Light analyst coverage (9.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 43%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
3.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.3 |
| quality rank | 7.2 |
| growth rank | 2.5 |
Technical
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 9.4 |
| support resistance | 8.5 |
| 52w position | 2.2 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.0 |
| days to cover | 8.6 |
| volatility | 0.5 |
| put call | 3.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 8.3 |
| debt equity | 8.8 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 1.56
- ▸High IV: 109%
- ▸Above max pain $10
Catalyst
6.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 6.4 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/0M
- ▸Dividend: 36.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:4.8>=4.5
- ASYMMETRY:2.5>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:51d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
- MOMENTUM:4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
2.52
Upside
+24.2%
Downside
9.6%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $4.7B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.9 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Sentiment at 8.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 2.52 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 8.0, Technical at 6.7, and Catalyst at 6.2; the weakest are Growth at 3.3, Peer rank at 3.5, and Quality at 4.5. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.52 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.