Skip to main content
SOBOSouth Bow CorporationSell4.6·$37.68-1.28%
Open full analysis

South Bow Corporation (SOBO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.68 — A.R:R is negative (-3.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away).

South Bow Corporation operates as an energy infrastructure company. It operates through three segments: Keystone Pipeline System, Marketing, and Intra-Alberta & Other. The Keystone Pipeline System segment consists of the company's main liquids pipeline network, which transports... Read more

$37.68+0.1% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#37 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.46%
IncomeYield5.24%Payout99.01%at-risk
Stop $35.76Target $37.68(resistance)A.R:R -3.7:1
Analyst target$34.75-7.8%9 analysts
$37.68our TP
$37.68price
$34.75mean
$30
$48

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.68 — A.R:R is negative (-3.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.1% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.9
P/E (Fwd)19.4
Mkt Cap$8.0B
EV/EBITDA13.8
Profit Mgn21.3%
ROE16.0%
Rev Growth-1.4%
Beta
Dividend5.24%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.03bullish
IV73%elevated
Max Pain$18-53.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -1.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.1
Declining revenue: -1%
GatesA.R:R -3.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.62Resistance $38.45

Price Targets

$36
$38
A.Upside0.0%
A.R:R-3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SOBO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.68 — A.R:R is negative (-3.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $35.76. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

What is the SOBO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.68 (+0.1% upside). Prior stop was $35.76. Stop-loss: $35.76.

What are the risks of investing in SOBO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5.

Is SOBO overvalued or undervalued?

South Bow Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.9 (forward 19.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SOBO?

25 analysts cover SOBO with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $35.

What does South Bow Corporation do?South Bow Corporation operates as an energy infrastructure company. It operates through three segments: Keystone...

South Bow Corporation operates as an energy infrastructure company. It operates through three segments: Keystone Pipeline System, Marketing, and Intra-Alberta & Other. The Keystone Pipeline System segment consists of the company's main liquids pipeline network, which transports crude oil from Hardisty, Alberta, to key U.S. markets including Wood River, Patoka, Illinois, Cushing, Oklahoma, and the Gulf Coast. The Marketing segment provides crude oil marketing services, including transportation, storage, and logistics, and engages in physical crude oil trading and hedging activities. The Intra-Alberta & Other segment comprises pipelines such as the Grand Rapids Pipeline and White Spruce Pipeline, offering crude oil transportation from Alberta's oil sands to refining and market regions, and includes corporate and financing activities. The company also operates 4,900 kilometres of crude oil pipeline infrastructure connecting Alberta crude oil supplies to the U.S. refining markets in the U.S. Midwest and Gulf Coast. In addition, the company offers ancillary services, including storage at terminals. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Calgary, Canada.

Related stocks: STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · FRO (Frontline Plc)
Home Stocks SOBO

Latest news

Latest News

Yahoo Finance47d ago
The Globe and Mail62d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat41d ago
Yahoo Finance47d ago
MarketBeat47d agoEarnings
Moomoo60d ago
Short Track Scene44d ago
Yahoo Finance45d ago
Moomoo64d ago
MarketBeat42d ago
Kalkine Media42d ago
The Trek43d ago
Meyka43d agoAnalyst
MSN59d ago
Benzinga20d agoAnalyst
Benzinga26d agoAnalyst
Benzinga38d agoAnalyst
Benzinga39d ago
Benzinga39d agoEarnings
Benzinga57d agoAnalyst
Loading more...